New Contact Email

adambrickley.brickyard@blogspot.com

Monday, July 21, 2008

Palin siezes 2nd place in Intrade VP market!

As of today, Gov. Palin has stormed into second place in Intrade.com's ranking of potential VP's for John McCain. Right now, she is trading at $19.9 and rising, higher than every candidate except Mitt Romney (and his numbers are starting to drop).

Meanwhile, Jonah Goldberg has an article in today's LA Times detailing the pros and cons of each potential VP pick. Palin is ranked as a "Medium risk" pick, and Goldberg says that she "could be a home run" (the only candidate he noted as having such potential). Unlike most of the other candidates, she also does not have any major groups listed in the column marked "Alienates". The only listing is"Alaska's kleptocracy" (and they NEED to be alienated).

45 comments:

Ted said...

Well, if Novak is right and McCain's pick is the end of this week, one way or another, I'll be able to retire from politics or at least take a breather -- either McCain selecting Palin (yeah!, going on to win the election soundly) or McCain selecting Romney (with all the air instantly going out of the McCain baloon and McCain's win becoming a struggle at best and only possible with a horrendous gaff by Obama).

One more point re Intrade -- AND THIS IS VERY VERY IMPORTANT -- Romney people may now try to bid Romney's price up. The key is/was the trend RIGHT BEFORE THE INTRADE ANNOUCEMENT -- and it was soundly heading to Palin!

BigRob-68 said...

Honestly, this fits right into how Drudge and Novak play with the MSM. This is how you steal Obama's thunder while he is off playing Dukakis in Afghanistan sans the tank--maybe. Drudge also said Mac was meeting with Jindal. Who knows? That's the point.

Ted said...

McCain letting word out that he's meeting with Jindal means it's not gonna be Jindal, that's for sure.

Anonymous said...

The thing about all this hoopla, though, is the only people paying attention are those that have made up their mind. Seems to me anyway. People who aren't that "into" politics probably aren't seeing any of these predictions and calculations. McCain is going to pick who McCain is going to pick. I'm sure his advisors have done the vetting and some polling. I still think he'll make a pick that puts some pizazz into the campaign and that wouldn't be Romney or Pawlenty. My guess is Palin or Jindal. Maybe Fiorna, since he seems to be good friends with her. I have this fantasy that he is waiting for the pipe line vote, and then will tap Palin trying to show the public that he is tuned in with a gal who is agressive about getting the nation energy independent. That is one hundred percent speculation though. For all I know, Palin isn't even on his radar screen.
dr. vicki

TC said...

Looking at McCain's schedule, if it happens at all, I think it will be Wednesday. He has a town hall meeting that morning in Pennsylvania.

TC said...

And Sarah is VERY popular among PA Republicans.

Holy crap, could it be?

BigRob-68 said...

I bet my shares in Oceanfront Kansas real estate that the speculation Mac picks his veep this week is hype.

BigRob-68 said...

I stand by my bet. Check out this from politico http://www.politico.com/blogs/jonathanmartin/0708/McCain_closes_in_on_VP.html?showall

Dave J. said...

Bigrob, I think my favorite comment on there is the one holding out hope for McCain to pick Ron Paul. Those guys REALLY never give up, do they?

Kristofer said...

Ted,

you better not retire if McCain selects Palin!

We need you on those message boards defending her when the left wing bloggers attack her!

I'll be angry at you if you are not sticking up for our Iron Lady!

Ted said...

One wonders, IS THE ASSOCIATED PRESS PARODY OR REAL??? -- continuing to report on an investigation into the Monegan 'Scandal' a/k/a Troopergate.

You can tell the MSM (as fawning allies of Obama) is really runnig scared of Palin as can be seen in the desparate ploy of the Associated Press persisting in trying to drum up something on Palin!

The funny thing is, it's all backfiring on the Palin foes because she's coming out of this fake story appearing stronger than ever!

And by the way, all Sarah and Todd Palin may have done vis a vis Wooten and Monegan is bring Wooten to the attention of Monegan BECAUSE WOOTEN WAS A THREAT TO THE SAFETY AND SECURITY OF PALIN AND HER FAMILY, especially after Wooten allegedly threatened to kill Palin's dad and bring down the Palin family.

As Sarah Palin has reiterated, she does not get involved in personnel and disciplinary matters of the Dept. of Public Safety. The Palins' were merely reporting concern surrounding their safety and security of their own family. What were Palins' to do, say nothing, and then be deemed negligent or remiss in doing nothing.

And finally, Palin was careful not to recommend Wooten's firing. Sarah acted carefully, appropriately and discreetly. Case closed. (Even Monegan was quoted at the police picnic essential saying much ado about nothing and case closed.)

Ted said...

Kristofer, thanks, but Palin is so immune to any effective attack from the left (which is one of her main "beauties") that she won't even need me.

If anything, those endeavoring to attack Palin will only publicly demean themselves.

Bottom line, Palin out-Obama's Obama, and McCain tapping Palin is nothing less than a checkmate on the Dems.

BigRob-68 said...

Big shocker! Half of all Americans believe the MSM in the in the tank for Obama. Here is the link in case someone missed the Rasmussen poll. http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0708/11912.html

Anonymous said...

As a non-Alaskan I find the Monegan affair just plain petty. Governors should be able to fire ineffective employees. How about a little objectivity even if you dislike Palin? A state employee threatens a family and abuses his own son. His immediate supervisor fails to fire the bad employee. The supervisor gets his feelings hurt when he gets transferred and tries to get back at his boss. Then he brings in more people to validate his need for revenge and takes it to the blogs and papers. This type of story is more suited to the soaps on tv than serious news. Gimme a break! And now an independent investigator on the taxpayer dime. Some people need to back off the fried foods!

Dave ll said...

The problem is not so much the story itself, as IT IS a NON-story...but the RUMORS about the story.

People just hear a blurb or a snipit and then go off and form their own opinions. I read a comment on Politico today that said Palin was in trouble because she "fired her brother-in-law". Not only is that wrong on so many levels, it just goes to fuel more bad rumors flying around out there.

Hopefully, the "attack machine" against Palin (when she is picked!) will be seen for what it is...desperate and foolish!

Matthew said...

If McCain doesn't pick Palin, I'm still on board to see her run in the next Presidential election. Politics is a long fight, anyway.

Ted said...

matthew, that's just it, if McCain doesn't pick Palin, we're still "on board", but the conservative base will NOT actively work for McCain and will take a long snooze (and perhaps some booze)!

Ted said...

aside from losing the true "beauty" of Palin, which is, she simultaneously attracts both Hillary voters AND Bob Barr voters!

I ask you, who else could do that?

Ted said...

Interesting sidebar, now that it looks like it's gonna be McCain/Palin and not McCain/Romney, Politico's Jonathan Martin, who's been heavily in the tank and promoting Romney as Veep, is curently gratuitously dumping all over McCain in his Politico reports and blogsites, e.g., McCain too old, used the wrong word, etc. etc.

Ted said...

Actually, it may be Politico's Martin was never truly in the tank for Romney, just that he touted Romney in order to insure McCain would lose in November. And now that it appears McCain is going with Palin, Martin needs to shift strategy to try and sink McCain.

Interesting in any event.

Anonymous said...

Ted,

Why do you say that it appears McCain has picked Palin? What do you know that the rest of us don't? I would absolutely love it if Palin were the VP, but I see no evidence that this will happen. Please tell me what gives you such confidence?

TC said...

Anonymous,

I think the reason we all think it's not most likely to be McCain/Palin instead of McCain/Romney is mostly because of the comments McCain has made in recent days (wanting someone young, vibrant, saying he doesn't believe the geographical issue isn't important), as well as the new ad and the many reports saying both that Romney appears to not want the VP slot and also because the internal polls show McCain losing in every group with a Romney pick.

Ted said...

anonymous, you see no evidence???

I'm gonna assume you haven't seen yesterday's new McCain ad which essentially announces Palin as his pick (without ever having to mention her name).

It’s even got the McCain/Palin campaign slogan vs. Obama: “Don’t hope for new energy, vote for it.” –-

http://www.breitbart.tv/?p=135403

Anonymous said...

Ted,

Earlier you said "Jindal for sure." Which is it?

Ted said...

anonymous:--

I never never said Jindal, "Jindal for sure" or urged Jindal over Palin.

You must be citing a different "Ted".

Night Owl said...

ted,

I hope you are right. That would be an amazing McCain-Palin slogan!

Rob said...

The thing is, I think Dave ll's right--even if one believes Gov. Palin's guilty of nothing, the rumors and the spin hurt; if she can't get the fire tamped down, Sen. McCain will have to hold his breath hard to pick her, because his decision would generate an instant smokescreen. I'm not saying that couldn't be overcome, but simply that it would require an extra helping of nerve and will to make a choice that would have that kind of immediate negative consequence. I think he has that, but if he sees another person who would also help him (even if not as much) without that particular baggage, that might be enough to push him in another direction.

Of course, if the Palin family can make the case that Trooper Wooten actually was abusing her sister, that would solve the problem. Proving Monegan wrong on policy or implementation would require too much detail and be too open to counter-argument, and it wouldn't be dramatic. Prove him to be a guy who shields wife-beating state police, and nobody (nationally, at least) will be on his side anymore.

I suppose it's possible that Gov. Palin can do that but isn't willing to do so unless she knows she's leaving the Alaska statehouse; after all, if Sen. McCain doesn't pick her, she has to be careful not to get the state troopers too mad at her.

Anonymous said...

rob,

McCain does not care about this.

His othe "potential" VP options have marks on their records. Each and every one of them. Palin does not, and in the end of the day, Governor Palin can fire any one from her cabinet she wants, without actually needing to give a reason.

Seriously, no one cares.

The AGIA is going to be passed and that will give her another bump for VP.

Ted said...

rob, do you really think rumors and spin about esentially nothing will mean McCain will elect to lose the election and pick someone other than Palin?

This is sooooooooo ridiculous!

Anyways, as these 'rumors' and 'spin' untangle into the nothingness they are (other than Palin and her husband bringing to the attention of the former State Public Safety Commissioner threats made against Palin's family from a trooper who is a former brother-in-law), and as time passes, it only enhances Palin as seen as having cajones to replace the Commissioner based upon other non-related factors without concern how it may look to her VP chances!

Anonymous said...

I know this is a bit off the wall, but I'm not sure it's a bad idea to pick Palin and let this controversy stir up. Quite frankly, I think McCain needs to do anything to get the press off of Obama. Even if it's something "negative". Especially if they're confident that Palin will be cleared, I think it is almost a positive that there is some stink. The MSM would have a hey dey discussing why he would pick Palin when she's under investigation. They'd have to analyze analyze analyze. The repubs are seen at this point as pretty boring and non news. A good controversy would get some press. Especially if it stirs up regular folks, if they smell an abusive police officer for example. I don't think it's necessarily a bad thing.
dr. vicki

Anonymous said...

While I'm very excited about the possibility of Palin being picked for veep, does anyone from up in Alaska get any sense at all that something big is afoot? Any hint at all that she has anything on her plate/mind other than her current position? Almost invariably things like this leak out. After all, if McCain is going to announce her, they'd need to be together. The whole thing takes an enormous amount of preparation. There would be aides to the governor working late hours, looking like they are trying too hard to be casual, which any good reporter would pick up on. Then the question is popped to an aide and a "no comment" is tersely given and the cat is now out of the bag. It is almost a certainty that we will know at a minimum of 24 hours in advance of the announcement so if we are not seeing a buzz up there now, it ain't about to happen. So what's the buzz Alaskans?

Carlos Echevarria said...

I hope and pray continuously for the selection of Sarah Palin.

I believe that the VP-Novak story was a ruse, to get some news coverage away from Comrade Barry & his sycophantic posse, in tow!

Adding Willard Mitt Romney to the ticket would bring nothing but trouble to Mac...and undercut his whole flip-flop argument vis-a-vis B. Hussein Obama.

Check out my response to the whole Monegan matter, if you like:

http://carlosechevarria.blogspot.com/2008/07/i-believe-in-sarah.html

TC said...

Here's some more good news:

1. This guy, Randall Hoven, puts together a hypothetical McCain cabinet. Guess who he has as VP? That's right, our girl Sarah.

http://www.americanthinker.com/2008/07/the_mccain_administration_1.html

2. This one, while incorrectly identifying Jindal as the front-runner (guy looks like hes in his twenties, and frankly, looks like a turtle), does mention Sarah as being in the top 3, under "high consideration."

http://www.transworldnews.com/NewsStory.aspx?id=54103&cat=14

Oh, and one more thing. Just wanted to throw out there that I was the "anonymous" that posted the shania twain song to be Sarah's entrance song at the convention. Just wanted to claim credit.

Anonymous said...

The guys on Fox News tonight with Brit Hume thought that Tom Ridge was the choice for Veep. The reasoning by Krauthammer was that McCain does not need a perceived riskier pick because is is almost even with Obama anyway, and that they figured his strategy was "double-down with experience".

Although I do agree with the logic that a home run pick like Sarah would appear not to be needed as much, Ridge is not a conservative on other issues most, and he is not pro-life. I'm wondering what effect this will have on social conservatives or other constituitional conservatives who believe Roe vs. Wade was a ridiculous opinion.

However, this could strengthen McCain in the midwest via Pennsylvania. I'm guessing McCain thinks he can hold Ohio, and adding PA would then make it electorally difficult for Obama.

Personally, I'd pick Sarah, and go for experience at the top of the ticket and the energy issue via Palin. Not to mention, possibly blow Obama out electorally in the midwest and mt. states. But hey, that's just me.

If it was Ridge, would announcing the pick this week or before the Olympics be a good move or a bad move?

Ted said...

This term "risk" is getting thrown around all over the place. Wouldn't the "riskiest" pick be the one with the lowest possibility of winning and the "safest" pick be the one with the highest possibility of winning.

How can a boaring snoooozer, unexciting, like Ridge, be less risky than Palin who gives McCain the best, overwhelming prospect of winning? Wouldn't Palin be the "safest" pick for McCain, if he wanted to come as close as possible to assuring himself of winning?

Am I missing something here?

Dave J. said...

Ridge would be a terrible pick. He'd help in PA but he'd turn off more voters elsewhere than he'd bring out.

Ted said...

Frankly, Palin would likely attract more additional voters in PA for McCain than Ridge would net for McCain in PA.

Also, right now Alaska House is in its final debate on amendments to Palin's Alaska Gas Inducement Act's licensing (natural gas pipeline project) and I believe a final vote will occur shortly; I'm expecting the House to approve the Palin promoted project license to Trans Canada.

It then goes to the Alaska Senate, but my understanding is the Senate will in all liklihood pass what is done in the House.

Ted said...

You can listen and/or watch on-line the Alaska House debate and vote; go to the Alaska Legislature website.

Julie said...

Great article in Alaska Report in defense of Governor Palin, her cabinet, and questions Monegan's testimony.
"Sarah Palin rips Walt Monegan"

http://alaskareport.com/news78/x61476_monegan_scandal.htm

It even reports thatTodd was instructed by the Governor's top security detail, to meet with Monegan and report any known threats. Seems this is standard protocol for any first family.

It nice to finally get some GOOD press regarding this situation

Anonymous said...

I admire the "First Dude" for being mature about the situation. I know if someone was threatening my wife, and the police did nothing, I might have taken things in to my owne hands.

Ted said...

Natural Gas Pipeline Licenes just passed the Alaska House!!!

TC said...

Major victory for Gov. Palin.

Anonymous said...

If energy prices drop tomorrow, Palin will be a hero. Watch Forbes and others give Palin major kudos.

Ryan Trabuco said...

"If energy prices drop tomorrow, Palin will be a hero. Watch Forbes and others give Palin major kudos."

If that happens, I'm sure we can expect Palin to be thrust into the national spotlight. Perfect time for VP picking for McCain's team.

Anonymous said...

I've just recently been learning about Sarah Palin and I love her!! She is a fiscal conservative. She's pro-life.She's against gay marriage, but has given benefits to same sex partners in her state siting the fact that she has many gay friends.Her first veto in office was to stop a ban that would deny gay people benefits!She has fought corruption even within her own party.As soon as she entered as Governor she sold a private jet the previous administration had bought with the state's money. It took her three tries, but she sold it on ebay : ) She's a wonderful mother of five and her eldest son is currently serving in Iraq plus she has a special needs son. She's been a lifetime member of the NRA. She has balanced the budget in her state, and moved in the right direction towards energy independence. McCain has the best energy plan ever created and she is right there in agreeance. Some say she isn't experienced enough,but she has much more experience than Senator Obama. She has executive experience which is a plus.She has worked with Democrats on bipartisan accomplishments. She would add excitement to the ticket giving McCain a historical ticket. I think Sarah Palin is McCain's best shot at winning so the experience shouldn't be an issue given the fact that if Obama wins we get a President with far less experience than Governor Palin. I really hope McCain picks her. She truly is a remarkable woman! McCain/Palin08!