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Tuesday, August 26, 2008

New VP Poll at Townhall.com

Hi Everyone,

I'm just filling in for Adam in an admin support roll until he gets settled in DC and back online (hopefully tomorrow). But, he wanted me to let everyone know there's a new VP poll posted on Townhall.com (right under today's funnies). Romney is in the lead, but Kay Baily Hutchison is in second palce with 21%! Ouch! Gov. Palin is right behind her (17%). Run on over and let them know who we REALLY want on the ticket.

Julie

119 comments:

sammyd said...
This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.
Michael Schuyler said...

In other words, the smear is on, sammyd. What, the corrupt Alaskan oil politicians can't stand a house cleaning?

Another poll with Sarah in a close second to Romney is at http://www.nationalreview.com.

TC Robinson said...

I think we can officially mark Pawlenty off the list for VP. Just looked at the new schedule put out by the RNC tonight, and he is already scheduled to speak twice. Doubt they would make it 3.

Yomi Mizuhara said...

Got a link to the new schedule?

TC Robinson said...

Go to the convention site and go to the first story under "Convention Updates."

Yomi Mizuhara said...

Okay, judging by the information there, Mitt Romney will probably not be it. I mean, why would he speak once then speak again later that night?

This confirms, to me, that it's either Pawlenty or Palin, and more likely Palin.

TC Robinson said...

Well, keep in mind Biden was already scheduled to speak on Wednesday this week as well, so I wouldn't use that to get an answer.

I can say, I highly doubt it is anyone who is CURRENTLY in Denver. To me, with the announcement more than likely now coming before Friday, then that would just be wierd to do that. That rules out Romney and Fiorina.

Dr. Vicki said...

The buzz seems to be up on KBH since the biden pick. I think a lot more pundits think a woman pick may be coming after all.

techno said...

Does anyone know where Sarah will be on Thursday or Friday?

Andrea said...

I think the fact that Romney was at the DNC convention and doing his thing is a signal that he is not going to be picked. WHY would McCain dispatch him to be the attack dog only to pick him as VP because that would have no surprise/shock value?

Stacy said...

I love Romney, but today he called Russia the Soviets three times in an interview and then stated that he has four houses. I don't think it will be him.

Stacy said...

By the way...did anyone decide whether or not Mccainpalin.com is a hoax or not? Did you see it has been updated?

Yomi Mizuhara said...

The registration of the website had it hosted at Dreamhost, which...being quite unfortunate, means it's on a server with other strange websites.

I have a feeling it's not a serious site.

BigRob-68 said...

Kay Bailey Hutchinson has been added to speak at the RNC on Wednesday night and she is appearing on Larry King tonight. I spoke to a lobbyist friend today who is saying the grapevine has Sen. Hutchinson on the very short list.

Mark said...

bigrob-68, since you have a friend who may or may not know the list, a quick question: To his knowledge, is Palin on it?

As for Hutchinson, just have your no doze ready for when she speaks. She won't make anyone angry, but putting on the ticket a female old enough to be McCain's sister isn't exactly going to energize anything.

She's a "meh" pick who happens to be a woman. She's nice enough as a person, but she's not the type to appeal to Reagan Democrats.

I keep going back to a simple idea: If McCain's message is "I'm not just going to talk about change. I am the agent of change, even if I have to go head to head with my own party to make it happen", then I fail to see how Hutchinson supports that story.

Reagan Democrats want change. They don't see Obama as the guy to deliver it. They like McCain's independent streak. I don't see how an older, relatively undynamic Senator Hutchinson helps in this regard.

Mark said...

Yomi, it's not a serious site.

Yomi Mizuhara said...

I figured that was the case. Which is alright with me.

Cp4three2 said...

Does anyone else think Colon Powell has been a little too quiet? It kind of just occurred to me that Mccain could make a splash with choosing him to be VP. It's kinda like Lieberman only without the Democrat thing. Just wondering what Mccain's going to do.

just a thought.

Carl

Mountain Mama said...

I wrote National Review that they should ask for NAMES at email addresses. Four adults here share one email address, and can thus vote only once for PALIN!

I'm praying McCain does NOT select Kay Bailey H.! She's BO-RING!!!!! (yawn....zzzzz)

She might not even carry Texas, where conservatives are LIVID with her for helping to ruin the border fence effort there. It's scary, though, about this: McCain might agree with her on that issue----and we don't want him to pick KBH!

I wonder if Palin has turned him down, wanting to wait to run in four years when she has more CEO experience and Trig is older?

Well, let's pray that McCain picks Palin, and she accepts. Surely they will both put our country's needs first.

We must FOCUS on the Supreme Court, and vote for McCain, even if he picks someone besides Palin.

Here's why: reportedly 4-5 Supreme C. justices are planning to retire if Obama wins, knowing he'll then be able to appoint 4-5 YOUNG liberal judges! ACK! Imagine the disastrous long-term effect on our country!

Hit your knees, folks, and PRAY HARD that Senator McCain selects Palin, she accepts his choice, and they WIN this November.

Send in money, continue to blog, write and email everyone you know, and pray God has mercy on our nation.

Paul said...

**BREAKING NEWS, BARACK GOES *DOWN* in THE POLLS AFTER PICKING BIDEN****

And the way the DNC is going, more to go!

Hillary support has dropped from 75% to 67%.

With a female VP Pick, see that in the 50%s and gamve is over!

See my blog...

http://mccainpalin2008.blogspot.com/

Paul said...

You hit it right on "Mountain Mama"
but in addition to prayin' make sure you do some action :)

http://mccainpalin2008.blogspot.com/2008/08/how-to-take-action.html

BigRob-68 said...

Mark--Indeed you are correct in part. The rumors in Austin and DC swirling around Sen. Hutchinson as a veep shortlister are driven by the obvious desire to further splinter the Clinton vote. She does remain popular here in Texas, however. I have met her on several occasions and personally like her though I disagree with some of her positions. I just cannot honestly answer whether or not anyone else such as Palin being vetted.

Carlos Echevarria said...

Any updates on the Parnell-Young primary race today? It would be a big win for Palin if Parnell triumphs today...

Techno brings up a good question, I am on the governor's site, trying to get her scheduled events, to see where she will be on Friday/Saturday??? (at least officially)

Hott Spott said...

I would not be upset if Kay Bailey Hutchinson were to get the nomination. I just know that it has to be a woman. You have to remember that, although KBH may be slightly liberal on some issues, the hard right says that Sarah Palin is liberal too. So don't put much stock into that. Also, remember that John McCain winning or losing the election depends solely on his ability to attract PUMA voters. He has Republicans. He is doing well and will do well with independents and hispanics. He has to do well with PUMA Democrats, most of which are either liberal or Moderate to liberal. People have to remember that regardless of all the hoopla, Hillary Clinton is not that moderate. Bill is, but she isn't. She's a liberal, just not as liberal as Obama. So naturally, her constituents, most of them are liberal or moderate to liberal. If McCain's pick is *SLIGHTLY* liberal, that's not necessarily a bad thing. He has to pick someone that PUMA Democrats will be comfortable with. It is obvious now that this thing isn't a fad. They are legitimately pissed off at the Democratic Party and the PUMA voters are McCain's best, dare say only, chance at winning.

Which is why he must pick a woman. I do think that KBH is too old but she is better than Romney or Pawlenty. Palin is the absolute best candidate to get moderates, Independents, PUMA Democrats, Evangelicals, pro-lifers and to pacify the base of the party. No one can do it better than her, but if not her then KBH will work.

BigRob-68 said...

Hott Spott--The argument against KBH will be her position on abortion. Ridge and Lieberman caused social conservatives to question the support that was/is gelling around Mac. Palin does not have this problem.

Paul said...

Guys - I just made a strong last push on my McCain contacts for Palin.

I implore others to do the same right now. Send email(s), get on the phone, leave messages etc..

We are almost at the finish line. Let's not be pundits, let's be voters.

We can win this.

Hott Spott said...

bigrob, I respectfully disagree. If you actually look at KBH's record, she really isn't that liberal on Abortion. If you go on ontheissues.org and search for her record, you'll see that. She is not pro-choice. And to be honest, McCain is kind of moderate on Abortion, as he believes (like I believe) that there should be exceptions for rape, incest, or the life of the mother. Some people consider that to be liberal! So, if you aren't going by the actual record, liberal and conservative are in the eyes of the beholder. Just like people say John McCain is liberal but he has an 87 percent conservative voting record. Does he walk, talk and act like a "hard-line" conservative? No, but neither did Barry Goldwater, President Ford or President Reagan but they were strongly conservative on most issues. It's the same thing with KBH. Regardless of rhetoric, your record is what matters the most.

Once again, I believe that Palin is the BEST option for John McCain. All I'm saying is that if he picks KBH, she isn't the best, but she will work.

Yomi Mizuhara said...

Does anyone know who else besides Arthur Culvahouse is on the VP Search committee?

BigRob-68 said...

Hott Spott--Point taken. I should have been more clear in distinguishing where most voters are on the issue of abortion versus say single-issue voters and much more ideological conservatives. KBH refers to herself as pro-life, yet, she is opposed to overturning Roe. She has voted for some restrictions as you mention. For some voters this record is unacceptable whereas other, more moderate voters find this position tenable. The larger issue, however, is that Mac needs as many conservatives behind him as possible without large distractions. He can win the indie and moderate vote on his own.

BigRob-68 said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Hott Spott said...

bigrob, I agree. Having hard-line conservatives is necessary to win, but as you acknowledged, so is the moderates. McCain will do good with or without a woman on the ticket, but he would to GREAT with a woman on the ticket. As I said before, Palin is PERFECT to serve McCain in every way, but if not Palin, and not KBH, the other choices are pretty boring and would divide the party even more than Palin or KBH. Moderate and Economic Conservatives hate Huckabee, Social conservatives don't trust Romney, Pawlenty is boring, neocons and National Security like Giuliani but social conservatives and the anti-illegal immigration wing of the party doesn't like him. The point is that there is a problem with almost everyone on the short list.

As I said before, Sarah Palin is the ONLY one that could make everybody happy (except the rack-and-file conservatives who say she's too inexperienced and want Romney) but most of those same conservatives who wouldn't be happy with KBH wouldn't be happy with Palin either. They want Romney. Point blank, plain and simple. They feel as though the "purity" of the ticket is more important than winning, but I take the Dick Morris approach in saying that "I have no interest in the purity of a losing ticket."

Basically it boils down to this. Is your philosophy of winning elections similar to Karl Rove or Dick Morris? Karl Rove believes in catering solely to the base, energizing the base, running up the numbers and winning elections that way. Dick Morris believes in going for the middle, attracting the moderates and swing voters who could go either way. I sincerely believe that going for the middle is the only chance McCain has to win. He's tailor made for the middle and Palin or KBH helps him win PUMA Democrats, who are our generation's Reagan Democrats. The hard-line conservatives will not be happy if it's Palin (because she's too young, she's inexperienced, she raised taxes on oil companies, etc.) or KBH (she's kinda, sorta, maybe, a little bit, slightly liberal on Abortion). They want Romney and only Romney. At the end of the day, most of them will still vote for McCain because they can't stand Obama, but they will have something to complain about either way. All I'm saying is that we need a woman on the ticket. Period. Sarah Palin is perfect but KBH or Marsha Blackburn are all fine with me. We just have to have a woman on the ticket or we lose this election.

Yomi Mizuhara said...

Actually Karl Rove isn't about the base, it's more about which states he can get with his picks.

Dick Morris is about getting the votes, and the confidence of the voters.

Or we could go with what a friend of mine says, "If you're weak as a moderate maverick, get a good conservative to draw in the Huckachucks, a woman to draw in the PUMAs, and a hottie to draw in the horny college kids."

This all leads to one person.

Mountain Mama said...

I think McCain is definitely going for a woman.

The pundits believe that candidates never make a risky choice UNLESS the race is close.

Well, DUH! Is this race close or WHAT?!

So MCCAIN: TAKE THE RISK!

Select a woman with GUTS and SAVVY: Palin!

Sure, she's young and not extremely experienced----but she's made EXCELLENT choices in judgment with the experiences she's had! THAT is sure key, right?

Hutchinson is SO BORING! C'MON! Don't play it safe with her, Senator McCain, please! (And it's NOT TRUE that she's beloved in Texas: conservatives ARE TICKED OFF about her stance re. the border fence).

Can you SEE what the convention would DO if McCain picked Palin?----and I'm referring to the DEMS' convention! They would all literally freak with fear! That would be too cool!

Please, God, help Senator McCain think clearly and pick Sarah Palin----not another boring white male (Romney or Pawlenty) and not a NEW boring white woman (Kay BH)!

PALIN!

PALIN!

PALIN!

Dave said...

I am still 100% for Sarah Palin. I have been stumping for her on different blog sites and sending emails, but in the event John does choose a different woman, here is another option I find good.
Marsha Blackburn from Tennessee. She is almost 20 years younger than McCain. Her Bio is below.

Marsha Blackburn is an established, conservative, results-oriented legislator who solves problems. She was sent to the U.S. House of Representatives at the start of the 108th Congress where she was one of only a few newly-elected congressmen selected to serve as an assistant whip on the majority whip team and the first female in Tennessee elected in her own right to the US House.

Blackburn was elected State Senator in 1998, becoming the first woman to represent Tennessee's 23rd Senate District. While in the Tennessee Senate, Blackburn led a statewide grassroots campaign to defeat the proposed state income tax. Her frequent appearances on talk radio and positive mention in national publications like the Wall Street Journal made her a recognized national anti-tax and government reform advocate. She quickly earned a reputation for keeping her legislative focus on defending and expanding individual freedom and free enterprise.

Blackburn willingly accepts the responsibility of helping shape American fiscal policy as a member of the exclusive House Energy & Commerce Committee. For 208 years, the Committee on Energy and Commerce, the oldest legislative standing committee in the U.S. House of Representatives, has served as the principal guide for the House in matters relating to the promotion of commerce and to the public’s health and marketplace interests.

Representing both a portion of metropolitan Nashville and the suburbs of Memphis, Blackburn has strong ties with some of the nation’s premier songwriters and performers. In 2003, Blackburn founded the Congressional Songwriters Caucus to give the nation’s creative community access to Capitol Hill. The caucus focuses on the protection of intellectual property and tax policy.

Blackburn was selected to serve as an Assistant Majority Whip in the 108th Congress and an Assistant Minority Whip for the 109th Congress. Whip Roy Blunt has recently selected Congressman Blackburn to serve as a Deputy Whip for the 110th Congress .

She has been named the Communications Chairman for the Republican Study Committee, a large group of fiscally conservative Republicans that make up a majority of Republicans in Congress . Blackburn was also named by Rep. Tom Cole (R-OK) as the Communications Chairman for the National Republican Congressional Committee, which recruits and supports Republican candidates for the United States Congress .

A graduate of Mississippi State University and a small business owner, Blackburn has been actively involved in Tennessee grassroots politics and civic organizations for more than 25 years. Blackburn was born on June 6, 1952. Marsha and Chuck Blackburn have been married for thirty-two years. They have two children, and one grandson.

Another viable alternative? Thoughts solicited.

Hott Spott said...

Dave, good post. I like Marsha Blackburn. But as I pointed out in my last statement, there is something wrong with every pick. She's TOO conservative. It would be very hard to market her to PUMA Democrats. Once again, I see nothing wrong with her because we need a woman. Palin, Hutchinson or Blackburn is fine with me. Palin does the trick better than anyone, but McCain needs a woman REGARDLESS of if its Palin or not.

And to Yomi Mizuhara, Morris is about getting moderates and swing voters. That isn't from me. That's from Dick Morris' own mouth. What I said about Rove and Morris was a direct quote from Morris himself. He said it on Hannity and Colmes last week. And Rove does cater to the base. That's the way he wins elections. Not that there's anything wrong with that. It's just a fact.

Mountain Mama said...

I'd prefer Marsha Blackburn to KB Hutchinson. At least MB has some life and energy.

But it will be SUCH a let-down if McCain doesn't show his maverick nerve and pick PALIN!

I wish Adam would write something, too. I know he's moving to D.C., so a full article isn't necessary----but:

What are you hearing, Adam?
Any chance for Palin now??

Bob said...

If its KBH, I rather have Pawlenty on the ticket. KBH is boring. She has a constipated look on her face that totally is a turnoff. No energy and too old. Remember, women can also be atracted to a good looking man. Palin or Pawlenty. I dont like anyone else.

Yomi Mizuhara said...

Tonight's speech may have just put Palin or Hutchison to the top of the list. Maybe even Blackburn.

Needless to say, it's looking better and better.

Ted said...

I really don't understand all this discussion here about other women besides Palin. If it's gonna be a woman IT'S GONNA BE PALIN! (There is absolutely no reason why that would not be so -- none, nada, zip -- so it's PALIN OR BUST!)

Bob said...

Ted, have you inside info from the McCain campaign. Or have you been seeing a good psychic. You know I hope youre right man. But, give us some facts. Not your hopes and dreams. And no conjecture either please.

Ted said...

Primary polls are about to close in Alaska (8:00 PM local time). We'll see how Palin's backed GOP Congressional Candidate, Lt. Gov. Parnell does.

Ted said...

bob, if it's gonna be a female, just look at the objective criteria. The only conclusion would be Palin (or no woman at all, and McCain would have to plead temporary insanity.)

Ted said...

Here's an Alaska Primary Election results link -- scroll down to House of Representatives, Republican, Parnell --

http://www.elect.alaska.net/data/results.html

Dr. Vicki said...

I am certainly hoping for Palin, but I think Blackburn would get the tap before KBH. She's got a little more youth. Small business connections. Would likely knock Georgia outof a potential swing for BO, though I doubt it's accessible anyway. I think she'd begood. The thing about Palin is she's pretty wholesome, got a real family appeal. And I think Obama's horrific extreme abortion record is something that would play big with a Palin pick.Mac is gonna do what Mac is gonna do. I agree that a woman pick, especially after tonight's speech by HRC, would be a real counterpunch to the Biden pick. After tonight, the buzz is why he didn't pick her.

Ted said...

that's "US Representative" "R" "Parnell"

Yomi Mizuhara said...

http://www.ktuu.com/Global/story.asp?S=8898165

Palin is going to be at the State Fair on Friday, handing out Quarters.

Or, so they say...

Marco said...

Right before McCain announces Palin as VP...they should play the Killers' song Read My Mind. If you can get past the romantic overtones of the song, the lyrics seemingly dovetail with our cause. I know it may be a stretch, but it would be an absolute coup! Not too mention lead-signer Brandon Flowers' hackles were raised over Green Day's song American Idoit . So the band has pro-USA bona fides.

"You say I'm falling behind." "Can you read my mind?" "I don't shine if you don't shine." "Put your back on me."

http://www.sing365.com/music/lyric.nsf/Read-My-Mind-lyrics-The-Killers/22B09FDC131C7F30482571EF0008F985

Ted said...

yomi, that would seem to have no negative bearing on McCain's Palin Veep announcement

Yomi Mizuhara said...

Oh I know that. Someone just asked what she was doing on Friday. She's apparently there...unless something changes.

She could be picked up in Juneau on Thursday night...we'll see. I'll be keeping attuned to Marc Ambinder on that, as he was the one who broke the Biden as VP story.

Ted said...

Marco, I kinda liked this Shania Twain song for the Sarah Palin theme at the Republican National Convention next week:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EWNtLt-pJik

Stacy said...

I've been on some PUMA sites tonight and they are even more pissed after her speech. Most of them noticed Michelle Obama's face during the entire speech as well. They are none too happy with her.

techno said...

I asked this question before but I'll ask it again. If McCain doesn't nominate a woman in this election cycle, with all the bitterness expressed by the PUMA's, when will a Republican presidential candidate ever nominate a female running mate?

Mountain Mama said...

You know what, Techno!? I agree with you: if neither of the presidential candidates nominates a woman for VP in THIS election cycle, with all the upset Hillary voters and all the wonderful possibilities for excellent female candidates, then WHEN ON EARTH WILL THEY!?

If McCain doesn't nominate a woman, I'd be tempted to sit out the election.

kilimanjaro said...

I still believe Sarah is the best choice for VP. She would capture the hearts of many of Hillary's supporters and she brings excitement to both conservatives and libertarians within the party. Her only negatives are her relative inexperience and the on-going Wooten investigation.

Kay Bailey Hutchison has little to recommend her other than the fact that she was a woman. Her negatives: 1) she's not particularly likable; 2) she comes from a state the Dems will call "Bush oil country"; and 3) she was indicted (but later acquitted) of misconduct in 1993.

If McCain doesn't pick Palin but wants to pick a woman, he may just go with Meg Whitman. While she's pro-choice, I agree with the tenets of William Kristol's argument that this may not be a deal breaker.

Ryan Trabuco said...

Parnell, Sean R. 17403 45.47%
Young, Don E. 17495 45.71%

Looks like Palin & Parnell may just have another reason to celebrate!

Ryan Trabuco said...

Ack, I posted before I was finished...

The primary will be close, but if Parnell did that well in the mail-in ballots, I'm pretty sure he won the election day voters.

Yomi Mizuhara said...

Parnell is ahead.

Parnell: 45.78%
Young: 45.07%

If Parnell wins, Palin's got a lot of help for her VP creds.

Ryan Trabuco said...

Sweet!

onetrueuber said...

I just sent the following to info@johnmccain.com:

As a McCain supporter, I think that this election presents a golden opportunity for Senator McCain to hit the ball out of the park and kill several birds with one stone.

I believe a Senator John McCain/Governor Sarah Palin ticket could effectively allow Senator McCain to dominate several key issues, most notably domestic drilling and shoring his conservative base with a pro-life candidate. Since Governor Palin is also a woman, this could also help capitalize on the truly angry women voters across the country. As a governor, she already has more executive experience than either of the democrats on the ticket plus of course combined with Senator McCain's leadership...it would make it difficult for the Democrats to comment on her experience. She's considered a maverick who doesn't mind standing up against fellow Republicans on issues that are important to her and she thrives on tearing down blowhard and corrupt politicians. Plus she enjoys a very high approval rating, bogus trooper scandal notwithstanding. She's down-to-earth and relatable and could never be considered an elitist (thus ending the houses issue) and she could help neutralize the age question (although Biden's age helps in that regard too). Her youngest son has Down's Syndrome and thus can squash the other side on the abortion issue and her oldest is serving in the Army, which could help take the legs off of any anti-war rhetoric from Biden regarding his own son. Talk about a fantastic running mate with a great story.

Back to drilling though. It's clear that energy is such a key issue this election and I believe McCain could use her to highlight and focus strongly on a pro-energy platform; and then as the presumptive nominee, urge Americans to vote for pro-energy House and Senate Republicans to stop the blockade in Washington.

If he and Palin hammer these issues (as well as continuing to project strength and leadership on the issues of national security and social issues), and the RNC encouraged House and Senate candidates to follow suit, I think we'll be in for a lot of great surprises in early November.

I therefore urge Senator McCain to strongly consider Govenor Palin to be his running mate.

Yomi Mizuhara said...

Parnell, Sean R. - 45.43%
Young, Don E. - 45.42%

Separated by 4 votes!

Ryan Trabuco said...

Parnell, Sean R. 24009 45.43%
Young, Don E. 24005 45.42%

4 votes! Crazyness.

flapper said...

Townhall already did a poll a few weeks ago. They're deep in the tank for Romney, and they just want another pro-Romney poll result out there before Friday.

Meanwhile, the GOP's actual base continues to reject Mitt. Palin shows her electability by coming in 2nd in these "Establishment" polls (Townhall, NRO, etc.) while still being popular among Evangelicals who hate Mitt.

McCain's pick has to be a Governor. The last time a person with no executive experience was elected POTUS was 1960. With 3 Senators on the tickets already, a Governor is absolutely essential.

It's not helpful to Palin for everybody to assume a "token" pick and start listing female Republicans. Palin is the best choice overall, who just happens to be a woman. If she is picked, the Dems will try to marginalize her. There's no need for the GOP to help them get that narrative started.

Yomi Mizuhara said...

It will either be Palin or Pawlenty then, unless there's another GOP governor who is worth their weight in salt.

Update on Young v. Parnell coming up....now!

Parnell, Sean R. 30395 45.68%
Young, Don E. 29956 45.02%

Ryan Trabuco said...

Question? If Parnell wins the primary tonight, is it still possible for anti-Palin powers in Alaska to encourage Young to run against Parnell as an Independent?

Ryan Trabuco said...

YAY!

Parnell, Sean R. 45% 33,068
Young, Don E. 44% 32,344

Parnell is a percentage point ahead!

Yomi Mizuhara said...

If they want to, I'm pretty sure they could. However, Young wouldn't want to do that because it would mean Berkowitz gets in. And, well...That would be the antithesis of everything Young stands for.

Saundra Santiago said...

such that parnell pulls a halcro?

Yomi Mizuhara said...

Eh...Parnell wouldn't be pulling a Halcro. Halcro has no scruples.

Saundra Santiago said...

what i mean is that halcro couldn't win the R primary so he ran as an independent...

Yomi Mizuhara said...

Young could do that if he loses, but I don't think he would. And I also doubt that Parnell would do that.

But, we'll see what happens. An update should be coming in the next 5 minutes. It's 57% of the precincts reporting with Parnell up by 1. If at 75% Parnell is up by more than 3, I'm gonna call it over.

Ryan Trabuco said...

76.3% Pcts. Reporting:

Parnell, Sean R. 41268 45.61%
Young, Don E. 40901 45.20%


It's still close however, with most of the rural vote left to count and with Young only having made meager gains in those precincts... Parnell could very well pull it out by a percentage point.

How fun would it be for this success to throw both the current Gov. and Lt. Gov into the halls of Congress this November?

If Republicans want to be seen as the party of change, look no further than Alaska!

Yomi Mizuhara said...

No. if Stevens is dropped, we put someone else in.

We do NOT want to have Palin do a Wendell Anderson, as that would kill the GOP for at least a decade.

I was alive when Wendy Anderson did that, appointed himself to the Senate and run for Senate. That was a deal breaker.

onetrueuber said...

The Corner at NRO weighs in on the Parnell/Young primary.

Wasilla, Alaska said...

Regarding U.S. House Young/Parnell: There are several precincts still to be counted and an additional 4,000 Republican absentee ballots.

techno said...

Could somebody explain to me why the election or defeat of Sean Parnell in the Republican primary to run for Congress would help or hurt Governor Palin's chances at being chosen by McCain as his running mate?

Wasilla, Alaska said...

techno - Palin is not going to be McCain's VP.

Accept it.

puma4palin said...

Senator McCain,

After Hillary’s speech last night, IT’S NOW OR NEVER!!!!

Shay said...

wasilla-
If you are so certain that she abslutely won't be chosen, then why do you waste your time here trying to oppose everyone? This is a Pro-Palin site, you know that. Your continuing to lurk around is either a sign of psychological issues, or perhaps your deep-seated fear that you are wrong and the Palin supporters are right.

techno said...

Having previously commented on why McCain should not pick a certain individual for VP I would like to turn it around and comment on what it reveals about McCain if he chooses a certain individual for his VP. 1) Joe Lieberman: prizes the 'comfort'card and friendship above everything else; feels it's important to have a cheerleader in foreign affairs in his corner;agreement on domestic issues is not a high priority and feels it is not important to keep his party base happy, assuming any loss of base support would be more than made up by independents and PUMA's and thus not worried about being considered a pariah within his own party (after all he will be President); not worried about possibly leaving the White House in Democrat hands which ends up being his legacy to the his party if he meets an untimely death, 2)Tim Pawlenty: feels it is important to guarantee the base will turn out and counting on his 'maverick'credentials to convince enough independents and PUMA's to vote for him. Feels it will be a close election, that Obama has no chance of blowing him out with the excitement and charisma that the 'Messiah' could generate in the fall; also may feel that it's Obama's election to lose--he or Biden will eventually screw up and McCain can 'run the fumble back for a touchdown'-thus a conservative, play-it-safe, no-mistakes strategy that mavericks are not usually associated with. 3) Eric Cantor: targeting the state of Virginia and wanting to enhance his ability to gain Jewish votes;also believes in balancing the ticket with a perceived good-looking solid rising male political star; also acknowledging that he needs him to appeal to all conservatives but especially to young and fiscal conservatives; not concerned that Cantor may not relate that well with Mid-West and Southern evangelicals. 3)Mitt Romney: McCain feels that he needs Mitt's expertise or prestige on the economy or business to assert credibility on the subject; feels that Romney will either inspire the base to vote or not lose him votes in the base; dismissing the notion that Mitt's religion will cause thousands of evangelicals in key or swing states not to vote; also not concerned about Mitt's inability to relate to the common man or woman, his huge bank account or his perceived flip-floppery that will certainly be addressed by the Democrats in their ads--thus McCain feels the PUMA women in substantial numbers will still vote for him despite the fact that he did not name a female running mate; following the conventional wisdom by choosing somebody (a male) perceived to be 'qualified' or 'experienced' as determined by professional Republican strategists or catering to the so-called wisdom of the punditry;feels that Romney will help him to carry enough swing states to win. After he loses the election McCain will say either the VP pick didn't lose him the election or Romney was an obvious choice that no one should question in retrospect. 4) Colin Powell: feels the Powell name unalterably changes the political landscape; does not matter if the conservative base is not happy--catering to the pro-life crowd is not all that is important; the campaign boils down to winning and foreign affairs---after all Powell is a celebrity-who cares what he believes or espouses--Republicans,Independents and PUMA'S will automatically vote for him because HE IS COLIN POWELL.5) Tom Ridge: by all accounts not being still considered for VP, but if McCain chooses him-wants a solid partner who exudes gravitas, believing that gravitas will beat the charisma of Obama and the brashness of Biden. 6) Any woman other than Sarah Palin: rationally knows he needs the PUMA's to win; must establish credibility with them to maintain their support in large numbers to election day. 7) Sarah Palin: wants to hit a home run: a woman, charismatic and energetic, the ability to get things done, a member of the NRA, a good family story, pro-life, an expert on energy and resources, young,a fellow maverick and reformer, a strong supporter of the military -thus can appeal to many groups--would guarantee the base would turn out in huge numbers and would enthusiastically support the ticket by making the phone calls and doing the leg work; also the great possibility that she would expand the possibilities of who would vote for the ticket-potential to being very attractive to the PUMA's and with her presence could result in a runaway victory for McCain; if McCain doesn't pick her and instead chooses a man in this election cycle what he is telling us is that he is willing to settle for a 'singles' hitter, bland mediocrity, or a steady presence that he will settle for a 273 to 265 victory in the electoral college and that he is arrogant enough again to think that the PUMA's will follow him in lockstep because they hate Obama so much or because he has the overwhelming gravitas that will keep them in line. In other words who McCain chooses as a running mate will go a long way to expose to the world who he really is and who he isn't and especially how he thinks.

Chung said...

I think a lot of pundits want to believe in the predictive power of Intrade. When they say so and so is the frontrunner, it may not be their personal preference or preduction. It's just what the "market" says.

techno said...

I'm beginning to think that Tim Pawlenty will be the pick. Can anybody out there convince me otherwise?

Paul said...

BTW: Expect hell to come on McCain after the DNC :)

If he doesn't pick an exciting VP pick, everythign will be dumped on McCain.

Paul said...

onetrueuber - thanks for sending that email to John McCain.

I would suggest sending it to Palin's office and also to the contacts listed here:

Call if you can too...

http://www.palinforamerica.com/index.php?option=com_jfusion&view=wrapper&Itemid=113

**LET'S KEEP THE PUSH GOING. WE ARE WITHIN 24 - 72 HOURS of the announcement. Don't let hte chance go by. There's still hope untill McCain pulls the trigger.****

**CALL & EMAIL TODAY****

Mark said...

Paul, that's the only reason that I don't see it being Romney or Pawlenty.

Romney has what will be spun as the elitist thing going on him, plus is fodder for the ads.

Pawlenty is just boring, period. There's no way around it. He will inspire nothing.

McCain has set this up on two fronts. The first is the "is he ready to lead" front. The second is the "Hillary got dissed" front.

I still highly doubt that McCain will pick Palin. I just do. I still think that she would help McCain energize and unite the base while appealing to independents.

More than anything, the reason to pick her is because she, better than any other name mentioned, supports what is the story that McCain will need to continue to tell to Reagan Democrats to close the deal-- namely, that he is a maverick, willing to go toe to toe with Democrats and even his own party to do the people's business.

Palin supports that message because of who she is, not because she's a she (that's just an added benefit given the dynamics of this election).

Mark said...

BTW, forgot to mention that I caught two Palin mentions on Scarborough's show this morning:

First, it was a round table with NBC's senior correspondents. They mentioned the usual suspects. When Mitchell mentioned Palin, she said "probably not" and mentioned what she called an "ethics issue". The interesting thing about her spin was that it wasn't a questioning of whether the complaint was a big deal but instead kind of a "well, any time someone hears ethics and Alaska, they think Ted Stevens" kind of thing.

The second mention was from Pat Buchanan, which reminds me of something that I said to someone. If you put Buchanan, Bill Kristol, Larry Kudlow, and Richard Land into a room and said "give me your top three", Palin alone probably would be on each list. You've got the Romney and Huck people who love to kill each other. You have Limbaugh and Hannity and Ingraham (and their audiences) to placate. As far as I can tell, Palin would do more to unify the party than any other prospective candidate.

And, that's step one for McCain winning. Step two is to appeal to the Reagan Democrats. We know the minuses . . . relatively speaking, Palin is inexperienced. And, you've got the investigation (simply the fact that there is one). But, every other candidate comes with minuses (some far worse). So, the question then becomes who has the best appeal to independents. When you look at that list and say, regardless of abortion, name your top five, Palin is on that list also.

She seems like the perfectly logical choice for McCain, which is precisely why I don't see it happening (much to my regret).

Paul said...

Vote for Palin here:
http://www.blogsforjohnmccain.com/one-week-mccain-vp-selection-poll-vote-now-1

Paul said...

Buchanan is smart, he has hit every political point on the head.

He said he needs to pick Palin.

If only McCain would listen to him

Keep emailin

techno said...

I can't think of another person in recent political history, like Sarah Palin, who has polled so well in various polls for vice-president (WSJ, NRO, Townhall-either 1st or 2nd) and received virtually no pubicity for those achievements from the MSM, 24 hour cable networks or prominent newspapers such as the NY Times or the Washington Post and not even is worthy enough to be considered a dark horse.Are we living in parallel universes? Makes me think this ia a conspiracy of silence. Tell me it can't be so. I may begin to believe that Oswald didn't act alone.

Andrea said...

I didn't watch Hillary's speech-- what did the previous poster mean about seeing Michelle Obama's face when Hillary was talking?

Mountain Mama said...

As I watched Hillary's speaking last night, I didn't catch any facial expressions of Michelle's that were particularly negative. Maybe just one tight-lipped expression.......

But I recall seeing VERY negative----no, seething!----looks on "sweet little" Chelsea's face during one of the Dem. primary debates, when someone (not sure if it was Obama or someone else) was speaking negatively about Chelsea's agent.... er, her mother.

Anyway----back to Palin:
There's an article on YAHOO now about how the Republican platform will NOT contain any statement advocating drilling in ANWR, so as not to conflict with McCain's opposition to it.

RATS! This bodes ill for a Palin pick, folks, doesn't it?!

I mean, wouldn't they just not mention this issue, period, if she were going to be selected, and if McCain were planning to re-think his opposition to drilling there?

I just wish this week were over, so we'd know whom we'll be dealing with as VP.

The more I consider it, I WILL be upset if McCain doesn't pick a woman. I'll even "settle" for Kay Bailey, if necessary!

(Actually, I dreamed once that the first woman president would be a blonde Republican. Many of my dreams come true, for some reason.
So---- are there any Palin supporters up in Alaska who could run over to the Governor's Mansion with some L'Oreal?
After all: she's WORTH IT!
~ JOKE! ~
Remember those dumb L'Oreal commercials?
Okay, so discount this as punchiness from the VP-suspense's KILLING me!)

Chung said...

According to Novak, Lieberman told McCain it's a bad idea to pick him. That removes one dark horse.

Dr. Vicki said...

Andrea
I watched on Fox. I guessit would depend on which network you watched as to what cuts you saw of her. I didn't notice anything, except once she and Biden both look like they had kind of drifted off.
I agree that this is a real opportunity with a woman choice. There's no way with a 50/50 vote the dems will unite.It's just not very likely.There will be people who feel cheated no matter what Hillary got up and said. Especially because of the way the caucus system works. Given that all of the possible vp picks are carrying pros and cons, and there's no real stand out exceptional person, I agree with the post who said if not a woman now, when?
Obama screwed up big time by not picking Hillary, and McCain needs to jump on his mistake.

Dr. Vicki said...

Mountain mama
I'm pretty sure Marsh Blackburn is a blonde.

raquel said...

another name being floated is Congressman Eric Cantor.

any thoughts?

Paul said...

ERGH... rumor's on Huthcison.
That woman will bore the *** out of you. She might as well be a statue.

http://www.blogsforjohnmccain.com/increasing-talk-about-sen-kay-bailey-hutchison-mccain-vp

Mountain Mama said...

Okay, so now I'll get serious:

Men are never going to let a woman on the president/vice-presidential tickets unless women stop voting for the two main parties' tickets.

It would be completely fair, too, if women did this, and would NOT be "emotional!" Walking off and no longer participating in unethical crap is JUST what MEN do, when they don't see happening what THEY know is just.

Lord, I've never seriously considered voting for a third party before now.

McCain had better be WISE and select a woman----and while he's at it, why not (for the love of all that is holy!) pick a woman who is superb: Sarah Palin!

Oh it will be horrible if he doesn't at least pick a woman. That would just be unforgiveable.

Mountain Mama said...

P.S.---
I just read this at the bottom of the Palin-for-VP-Blogspot article by Adam Brickley, and thought it was SO important that it should be posted here, too, since people are posting here more recently:

<<
Mark said...
After the MN fishing opener, Pawlenty made a studpid joke, in front of the assembled news crews, with the punchline, "Now maybe my wife will have sex with me."
Really stupid. No one laughed, especially his charming wife.
I can just see that reel being played over and over again.
I like Tim, but I'm a late (today) possible-supporter of Palin.
Good comments.
August 27, 2008 8:37 AM
>>

GOOD LORD! That's 'WAY more stupid and sexist than Biden's own dumb slam against his wife's having a Ph.D.!

What is WITH these guys!?

We need a smart woman like Palin, who won't make stupid sexist jokes.

Chung said...

According to Politico, Kay Bailey Hutchison has not been vetted.

raquel said...

Adam, thanks for putting up this site. By this time tomorrow the choice may have leaked out and in either event blogging here may cease. It has been a great experience to virtually meet so many passionate people and share the enthusiasm about Sarah Palin. America is a great country!

Paul said...

She better not be vetted.

Paul said...

She better not be vetted.

Stacy said...

Regardless of who the VP is, I will be at the rally in Washington, PA on Saturday. I will post pictures, etc. on my blog Saturday night or Sunday morning. I'm sure we can all support Adam in his new job. He deserves a big round of applause.

ted said...

It'll either be Willard Mitt Romney or Joseph Isadore "Joe" Lieberman.

techno said...

Larry Kudlow on his blog says he has learned that the choice will be either Tim Pawlenty or Kay Bailey Hutchinson claiming that a legislative investigation by the Alaska legislature re: Governor Palin has doomed her chance.Also noted that Karl Rove and other Republican operatives want him to choose Romney.

TC Robinson said...

Guys, I think it's KBH. While she probably won't help as much as Palin, she will help secure a McCain victory.

It can't be Romney because the Democrats will be able to paint him in the exact same fashion as we are Biden. It won't be Pawlenty because they already have him speaking twice. It MUST be a woman, otherwise he can kiss the election goodbye.

I think the investigation has killed her chances. Remember what that did to Ferraro in 84 (the money stuff)? I could see that happening all over again.

I think this opens the door for Palin to run in Steven's place, because there is no way in hell that he can win. If not that, let her serve another term as governor, and maybe part of a term as Senator, and come 2012 or 2016, she'll be rearing to go become the nation's first female President. KBH won't ever run for President, trust me.

Yomi Mizuhara said...

It's not KBH. She hasn't been vetted and isn't in contention.

Congrats, everyone. It's Pawlenty.

raquel said...

Governor Palin will have to get on a plane tomorrow if she is going to be on the east coast in time for an 11:00am announcement.

ted said...

Kudlow says the investigation of Palin is bogus, huh? Ha!

He needs to tell that to the Alaska Legislative Council, which is a bipartisan panel of state senators and representatives. They voted 12-0 to investigate her for abuse of power.

Hott Spott said...

I am going to have a hard time voting for McCain if he does NOT pick a woman. If he doesn't, he will have lost all of his maverick flavor to me. He would have became just another boring Republican. If he does not pick a woman, either Sarah Palin, Kay Bailey Hutchinson, or Marsha Blackburn, it would show more than anything that Obama could say or do that McCain really is out of touch. Women are pissed off. They are angry that their shot was taken away from them and they want a chance to make history too this year. Either Palin, KBH, Blackburn, or anyone else under the radar, but he BETTER pick a woman or it will be very hard for me to pull the lever for him.

Hott Spott said...

The Alaska Legislature is trying to screw Sarah Palin out of being the V.P. They want to scare John McCain away from picking her so that they can politically destroy her in Alaska. This is ridiculous. All of these jealous, evil, hateful individuals will not allow someone as great as Palin to become the next Vice President of the United States. Nevermind that it would be good for the country. They don't care. They are only in it for themselves because Palin won't play their political games. Get a record of everyone who screwed over Palin in that legislature and every Alaskan on this site that supports Palin, here's my message to you. If she is not the nominee because of this garbage, you get those records and you vote every last one of those bastards out of office. Make them feel it. If Palin is not the nominee, do not let them get away with screwing her out of that. Wow, between Hillary and Sarah Palin, some people just do not want a woman in the white house!

Joe said...

If Kudlow is right and the trooper investigation turns out to be a factor, then we will eventually see that Palin is found not guilty of these allegations. At that point, those few who have participated in the torpedo of this historic moment will be shown to be traitors to this country.

I hope Palin goes on to be president eventually. There will some day be a book written by her, in the fashion of Doris Kearns Goodwin and her beautiful account of the Lincoln election (Team of Rivals). In this future book on Palin, I forsee that each of the characters in Alaska who have played a role in this political assassination will be held accountable. Including the trolls on this very blog. History will NOT judge you well.

ted said...
This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.
ted said...
This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.
Ryan Trabuco said...

"If she is not the nominee because of this garbage, you get those records and you vote every last one of those bastards out of office. Make them feel it."

Adding to that sentiment, I would suggest all of us financially support and donate to Gov. Palin's (and hopefully Congressman-elect Parnell's) causes in helping turn that state around.

Joe said...

All Palin supporters, nationally, should seriously organize to defeat her enemies in Alaska. This is a call to arms. These are thugs, who are used to no one paying attention to their corruption. But this is a new era. McCain is the original maverick, Palin is the new maverick. She is being targeted, by forces both from the left, and likely from the far right Alaskan past. But we now know about Alaska, as does the rest of the nation. The future of Alaska, and the future of the country, are tremedously bright. To the enemies of Palin, we will take the fight to you.

Ryan Trabuco said...

Joe, well said!

I'm ready and willing to throw down a couple hundred dollars.

Dennis CB said...

Two things:

First, John McCain will do the country a grave injustice if he fails to select Sarah.

Second, If he doesn't I think that I will write in Sarah anyhow.

BTW Fake Ted you're exposed.

Cyrus said...

I took the same poll at TownHall.com and both ladies came in at second place with 21%. There is still hope.

McCain will call his running mate tomorrow and the announcement will be conducted at 11:00am Friday.

It seems all the pundits are pointing toward Romney. It would be nice, but I would think a lady running as VP is more appeasing to many.

Palin would be perfect choice and I am not going to change my decision. Anything can happen and many things have changed in this election cycle. So, don't fall what the pundits say. McCain already have shown interest in Palin and understands he needs the women vote. Palin is the only qualified candidate to get the job done.

Cyrus said...

Let's keep in mind that Conservatism has lost it's way and society see themselves as more of a centrist or moderates.

There has to be a gradual grassroots movement of Conservatives to bring Conservatism back into the mainstream. We cannot shock the system because it will never work.

The idea of putting a Conservative women on the ticket will satisfy the womens movement, who are more interested in elevating women in high position, rather than pushing one particular issue.

Republican has to show the American people that they are able to break out of that old classic mold and put a wow factor into the mix. Something that may be considered radical to others is something what the American people wants to see.

Therefore, by putting a women on a Republican ticket, who is a Conservative, will satisfy the Conservative movement and the centrist movement.