New Contact Email

adambrickley.brickyard@blogspot.com

Friday, October 31, 2008

Home Stretch

Well, here we are. The final days of the campaign are ticking down, and all we can really do is wait. That said, I'm going to try to blog hard until election day, and I have not intention of stopping afterward (regardless of result). Just so you know, my laptop has been stolen, so I'm a little dependent on my work computer and my friends' laptops...so I might be a little sporadic. Anyway, we should have a lot of good news to cover in the next few days, and I intend to stay on top of it. The polls are showing a very close race, Sarah is doing a fantastic job on the trail, and Barack Obama is being forced to play defense in states he thought were wrapped up (namely Iowa, where he was today). Keep it tuned here for all things Sarah as we ramp up for the big finale!

P.S. What's cuter than Piper and Trig? Piper and Trig in costume! (love the baby elephant!)

90 comments:

Carlos Echevarria said...

Adam, as always, we are all indebted to you!

I continue to convey that Florida will stay Red, although it will be closer than 04'.

Which ever way this breaks, we have a new Reagan!!!

Sarah Louise Heath Palin!

PhaT aL said...

"If a man proposes to redistribute wealth, he means explicitly and necessarily that the wealth is his to distribute. If he proposes it in the name of the government, then the wealth belongs to the government; if in the name of society, then it belongs to society. No one, to my knowledge, did or could define a difference between that proposal and the basic principle of communism."

“The Dead End,” The Ayn Rand Letter, I, 20, 2.

TrueRedHead said...

How cute! And I wouldn't bet against a Piper Palin Presidency in a few decades.

PhaT aL said...

The ant worked hard in the withering heat all summer long, building his house and laying up supplies for the winter. The shivering grasshopper saw this in the distance, demanding to know why the ant should be warm, cozy, and well fed, while his friends were miserable and starving. Rumors were going around the back lot and the media descended on the two like twin-engine plane storing pesticides. CBS, NBC and ABC showed up and provided pictures of the shivering grasshopper next to a film of the ant in his comfortable home with a table filled with food. The neighborhood was stunned by the sharp contrast. How could it be possible that a poor, humble grasshopper was allowed to suffer, while the filthy, rich ant satisfied its belly? One day, a black beetle came along and told the concerned insect population that he would do everything he could for the grasshopper--who was denied the basic right and food he deserved. In fact, he said the ant had gotten rich off the back of the grasshopper, and promised to call for an immediate tax hike on the ant to make him pay his fair share. The ant rebelled, but lost to the warring population. In the end, the grasshopper finished the last bits of the ant’s food while the ant decayed in the snow. Later that evening, the beetle was found dead in a hate related incident and the house, long since abandoned, was taken over by a gang of spiders who now terrorized the once peaceful neighborhood.

Moral of the story: Be careful who you vote for.

PhaT aL said...

The most eye-opening civics lesson I ever had was while teaching third grade. The presidential election was heating up and some of the children showed an interest. I decided we would have an election for a class president. We would choose our nominees. They would make a campaign speech and the class would vote.

To simplify the process, candidates were nominated by other class members. We discussed what kinds of characteristics these students should have. We got many nominations and from those, Jamie and Olivia were picked to run for the top spot.

The class had done a great job in their selections. Both candidates were good kids. I thought Jamie might have an advantage because he got lots of parental support. I had never seen Olivia’s mother. The day arrived when they were to make their speeches Jamie went first. He had specific ideas about how to make our class a better place. He ended by promising to do his very best. Every one applauded. He sat down and Olivia came to the podium. Her speech was concise. She said, “If you will vote for me, I will give you ice cream.” She sat down. The class went wild. “Yes! Yes! We want ice cream.”

She surely would say more. She did not have to. A discussion followed. How did she plan to pay for the ice cream? She wasn’t sure. Would her parents buy it or would the class pay for it. She didn’t know. The class really didn’t care. All they were thinking about was ice cream. Jamie was forgotten. Olivia won by a land slide.

Every time Barack Obama opens his mouth he offers ice cream, and fifty percent of America reacts like nine year olds. They want ice cream. The other fifty percent know they’re going to have to feed the cow.

Patriot1776 said...

I agree...but McCain's staff is trying to once again undermine his own campaign...

WHO in their right mind would run a global warming ad in the last weekend???

The Republican establishment is lost....either way, Sarah and the rising stars need to take over this party.

We can still win this DESPITE the efforts of our own to shot us in the foot!

PALINATOR!!!! said...

I saw this compilation of file footage on early Obama speeches...noteworthy to this group are the slants he makes on the bible and the promises he makes to planned parenthood....it is lengthy but hey, it's Friday night, the woman is African American and offers evidence (well beyond the race card, why she is not supporting BO)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CM-KEv8zxMA

Jill said...

Thanks for the upbeat post. All of us will be looking for your coverage of the good news coming our way. I do like seeing Obama playing defense on the trail.

Any Fred Thompson fans? Or anyone who wants to hear some good sense? It will take 12 minutes.

http://www.eyeblast.tv/public/checker.aspx?v=e46UkUDkDk

"Voracious appetite of the federal government." You said it, Fred. "Their pent up wish lists."

manajordan said...

Thanks Adam for the amazing work that you have done.
Sarah Palin has been incredibly gracious and strong throughout this process. My respect for her has only grown.
This Sunday I will be fasting and of course praying for the people to make the right choice.
God Bless.

knowitall said...

form the gov'na of pennsylvania:

"Gov. Ed Rendell Friday said the presidential race between Democrat Barack Obama and Republican John McCain is "closer than the polls indicate." Urging people to get out and vote in Tuesday's general election, Rendell said Obama does not have a double-digit lead in Pennsylvania and he told voters to take an umbrella and dress warmly to withstand the weather.
"Stay in that line and make sure you vote," Rendell told about 50 people at Wilkes University. "I've seen polls that have the race as close as four points."
Rendell also said the addition of Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin to the Republican ticket has "enthused" the campaign.
"She has drawn thousands of people to every event she has appeared at," Rendell said."

Hey, Ed, we could have told you that!!!

Mountain Mama said...

I LO-OVE those cute costumes!
Trig is a Baby Republican: get it!? (Better than having to wear the DEMS' mascot: a jacka--!)

Hey, people: don't get upset with McCain's staffers for running that Global Warming ad. Remember: WE are sold on McCain-Palin. The ad, however, is designed to grab and hold the support of the people who are still Undecided: THEY tend to care greatly about this issue, and it will help get those votes!

No, I never agreed with McCain about this issue. Nevertheless, I applaud his staff's efforts to share more information about McCain that is REAL, and TRUE about him, to gain all the votes WE NEED!

Keep it positive, VOTE, and help GET OUT the vote! OH, and don't forget to WEAR RED on Tuesday! RED STATES EVERYWHERE!

12thMan said...

"WHO in their right mind would run a global warming ad in the last weekend???"

GLOBAL WARMING?!?!?!? Patriot this is (one of the reasons) why I'm so hard on McCain to even this day. Maybe we need the Rams to beat the Cards on Sunday (which would prove how lousy the NFC West is, leaving the first-place Cards at 4-4) to teach him a lesson.

Ronaldus did NOT acquire his coalition of Reagan Democrats by going dead-center. He kept his principles and communicated it to them in a way they could understand. That's what made him what he was. McCain infuriates me every time he claims to be a Reagan foot soldier and every time he tries to show it he just looks more and more like a Clintonista.

I'm with Levin and Rush, we win Tuesday, we start fighting McCain Wednesday.

12thMan said...

OTOH, Sarah proves to me that she might not have been in D.C. then but she definitely WAS a Reagan foot-soldier. I have no doubt if that embarrassing "Morning In America" wannabe of Barry's the other night was Sarah's, it truly would be the reincarnation of MIA.

We (along with Rush/Levin and co) truly ARE dragging McCain across the finish line, but come Wednesday, we give him the riot act--complete with the Patton music.

Mountain Mama said...

I thank God that Senator McCain:

1. ... is pro-life---a very courageous position he's always maintained.

2. ... seeks always to tell the truth plainly: "straight talk."

3. ... served his country with great courage and fortitude in war and peace.

4. ... honors faith in God and God's PRESENCE with him as a P.O.W.

5. ... for his bravery and egalitarianism in selecting Sarah Palin as his VP!

6. ... for overcoming his problems and honoring his marriage to Cindy.

7. ... for keeping a hilarious sense of humor even during tough times.

8. ... for truly reaching across the aisles (not just talking about it only, cum B.O.) and working to get helpful legislation passed.

9. ... for moving beyond an initially naive position about illegal immigration and reworking his proposals, to build in MANY safeguards for the USA.

10. ... HE WILL SAVE THE COURT, because McCain believes that the constitution should be STRICTLY interpreted.

This is a time to PULL TOGETHER, people. QUIT putting McCain down, and stop planning to "fight" him on Wednesday! FOR SHAME!

Senator McCain will need our support for MONTHS, as Obama will surely fight every lost (to B.O.) vote for McCain, should McCain-Palin WIN! So please, for the love of God and all that is holy, BE POSITIVE! (AMEN?)

PALINATOR!!!! said...

so I have been working for a board of elections, i started as an elections inspector and because of the need for bi-partisan representation, i was promoted rather quickly (or asked) to working in the office. i have learned a few things that may be interesting: poll votes are never called in, or reported to anyone..votes are counted and certified in December..so where does the media get those numbers??? well they COULD check with county web sites that show preliminary numbers that are not actual or verified until they are reported to the State Boards, or they COULD list them as "popular votes" and speculate who is winning.... so the media basically selects the presidents because votes are inconclusive for weeks after they are cast (also because absentee ballots, though post marked by Nov 3, may not come in for up to 3 weeks due to high volumes of ballots that come internationally) HERE IS MY POINT...NONE of these votes can determine who the electoral college voters actually certify and currently, they have to vote together (despite the fact that some states have literally not voted for the candidate that is certified by their EVoters)...also, there are no states that are allowed to count votes until Nov 4 which, means that all of the "results" are fiction

knowitall said...

Mountain Mama,
As always and as usual, you are 100% right.
Please people, focus on the job at hand and stop the negative comments.

Reagan's 11th commandment, if I remember it correctly, is:

"never speak ill of other Republicans."

Please stay optimistic!!!

Mountain Mama said...

Knowitall, you are always very supportive of EVERYONE here: thanks! I appreciate the GREAT information about PA, too!

Bless you, too, 12thman and Patriot1776, for your passion and enthusiasm. (Ted, where are you?)

BUT, how fallible of me: I forgot one KEY blessing by McCain:

HE PUSHED FOR THE SURGE, back when LOTS of people (even in his own Party, remember?) criticized his pushing for it.

And today, thanks to the Surge, we have THE LOWEST amount of injuries and deaths in Iraq. PRAISE GOD for prompting McCain to push for this CHANGE!
(Obama doesn't own THAT word, either!)

PALINATOR!!!! said...

Oh and one final thing, there are no states that are allowed to count votes until Nov 4 which, means that all of the "results" are fiction, this explains the importance of candidates getting the MSM in their pocket and also explains why a supreme court would have to rule on a conflict over who "wins" in a presidential election (essentially they were ruling against the MSM) This seems to also explain the strong reliance most Americans feel upon the MSM, and why it is critical that the MSM's handling of this election receive major attention, sooner than later. Because many on this blog, appear to have links to media sources, I invite your comments or suggestions.

knowitall said...

from the washington post via drudge:

HEATHER WILSON


Republican representative from New Mexico

The big news will be record turnout -- more than 130 million Americans will go to the polls. More young people and African Americans will vote this year, but that won't account for all of the increase.

Historically, if someone tells a pollster they are "undecided" at this point in a campaign, they are either disinterested and don't vote or they are refusing to reveal their choice. This year, the "undecideds" are telling pollsters that they are very interested in the race. They are going to vote.

Usually, the "undecideds" who show up in polling break pretty evenly when both candidates are well known. This year's "undecideds" are generally older, more rural, voted for Bush over Kerry, and they are concerned about Obama's inexperience and liberal views. The undecideds will break toward John McCain

12thMan said...

Sorry mama, but don't be naive. McCain has to be fought to ensure he stays on our side of the fence. We CANNOT afford him even veering the slightest off the reservation with (Wimp)Reid and Pelousy. Otherwise, he WILL appoint the next David Souter when the time comes and there won't be much difference between that and an appointment of Cass Sunstein by Barry.

We already made this mistake by giving GWB too much leniency, and he didn't have a 'Gang of 14' on his resume.

Make no mistake, I want to see Barry sworn in with the 111th Congress in January and not as POTUS a few weeks later. But if we get a weak McCain who essentially is nothing more than the next George H.W. Bush, and sabotages Sarah in the process, which would also in turn enable the next wave of Democratic horror it's not worth it.

So THAT is why we fight McCain (as president-elect). Not now, we fight to save the Republic first. But we can never forget.

Mountain Mama said...

"Naive" hardly describes this Mama, 12thman! Hoo, that's a good one.....

Hey, bud, you're ignoring the importance of TIMING! Specifically, THIS is NOT the time to knock McCain, but to support him!

If and when McCain seems wimpy in the future as President, THEN we'll try to change his opinion and positions----and fight him ONLY if necessary.

Until then----be a team member. Hopefully THAT analogy will work for ya......

momprayn said...

Carlos - thanks for your input - it's always encouraging. Yes, I truly believe we'll win FL.

phatal - boy! great posts. I
forwarded them to others....thanks.

12man - you might want to check my post to you on the previous topic re the Eagles & Lions win this Sunday....(I'm hoping it'll be symbolic of a Sarah win!!! ha!)
If they lose, well.........

Yes, cute costumes for Trig and Piper!

huskyonspeed said...

I'm glad this is almost over, it's been a long year. I don't know what to make of this "global warming" ad, it's not my cup of tee, but I'll play the pragmatist and say that if it helps him win its ok. What did Clinton say? Move to the center during the campaign, then govern however you want. Remember everyone, if kids come trick-or-treating to you house, you need to "spread the candy" for fairness!

12thMan said...

Um, wouldn't fighting him on Wednesday sort of imply we're pulling for a big win on Tuesday? If he ends up resigned to being sworn in with the 111th Congress what's the point?

But he's making huge last-minute swings, there's no reason at all for him to be pulling this. It reminds me of Mike Tomlin's idiotic decision to keep going for two during the Steelers' comeback against Jacksonville in the playoffs last year (they ended up losing because of those failed two-point conversions).

Hey, NO ONE understands being a team player more than me, but that means teammate A's gotta be on the ball too. This reminds me of the first time I noticed Sarah off her game a bit, when she had to start parroting McCain (sort of) on global warming. I won't stand for it, ESPECIALLY when we're on the verge of handing the libs and the media an embarrassing defeat.

The independent voters (and Reagan dems) will go for McCain on Tuesday because he's showing this last-minute tenacity (as opposed to Barry, who takes them for granted), NOT because of global warming. Seriously, could he not have waited on this til like Jan 21?

Mountain Mama said...

I believe the pollsters:

SEVERAL of them admitted this week that the very, very BEST pollsters are those who work privately FOR THE CANDIDATES.

Therefore, McCain's internal polling MUST show that the global warming ad WILL help garner votes from independents/undecideds----or they wouldn't run them.

Have SOME trust in the BEST pollsters. THANKS, everyone, for being on the same team!

loki said...

Don't know if anyone has seen or posted this yet but a Team Sarah ad...it's great!

http://hotair.com/archives/2008/10/31/
new-team-sarah-ad-whos-obama-been-winking-at/

momprayn said...

Breaking - Per Drudge via Hannity just now -- Zogby has McCain AHEAD by 1 point............

Mountain Mama said...

Yes, Momprayn, I heard that----but I checked Drudge just now and there's not a syllable about the INSPIRING Zogby poll results you reference. What gives?----besides the fact that Drudge is ALSO in the tank for Obama and has at least FOUR Obama stories placed at the top of his website!
I'm getting really tired of the MSM and its BI-AS!

momprayn said...

mountain mama....hmmmm...didn't know Drudge was in the tank for Obama! Really? Well, anyway --- you know Hannity got it on his Blackberry from Mark Levin just a few minutes ago & said something about tomorrow???

knowitall said...

Mountain Mama,
It's there now. Yippee!!!
Also a good article on Obama getting testy with the media.

Adam may not only end up choosing the VP but also choosing the person who stopped socialism... but don't count your chickens before they hatch, right?

techno said...

John and Sarah now clearly have the momentum. Even if the results of Zogby's one day poll may be off a half a point or a full point, our side knows it's a tied game with 3 minutes left to go. The last one who has the ball (gets the undecideds) will win the game. Now it's a real fight to the finish. Can you believe that Sarah has 5 rallies scheduled for tomorrow? NB: I know I have criticized Zogby big time for his wild 'rhetorical flourishes' of polling extremes but this is too late for any pollster to be screwing around with the numbers. From now on you can pretty well count on the professional polling fraternity to reflect reality. This is what Rush Limbaugh believes and he is right 98.6% of the time.

Tbone said...

The costumes looked awesome. This election will be alot closer than people think. All because of Sarah. The MSM and polls always overpoll Democrats. I like reading all the posts. It is awesome that Sarah has alot of big time supporters. Sarah is ready to become the most popular Republican and the face of the Party. Thanks for this site. Keep up the good work.

Tbone said...

With the polls tightening daily. This could mean alot of people are having second thoughts on Obama. Are they starting to realize he is a phony? It still comes down to state by state results though. McCain/Sarah will have to run the table. They can only lose on of these states listed here. Pensylvania,Ohio,Virginia,North Carolina,Florida,Indiana and Missouri. If they lose two they will not win. It could come down to Colorado or Nevada.

Jill said...

McMentum

You won't want to miss this. It isn't just about the Zogby Poll. This is an audio download. It will be worth your time. Once you are on the site,scroll down a bit and click on The Real Polls. Then listen.

http://davidjeffers.thevanguard.org/500/mcmentum/

manajordan said...

I just saw the 20/20 interview and saw the Greta one earlier. She presents herself so well. The interview went really well, and I was pleased to see some really touching moments that they included in there. She is fantastic on every level these days, interviews, rally's, anything she is handling it well.
Keep the faith, keep praying. Go John and Sarah

knowitall said...

Well, the final rallies are now posted on the McCain site, and I am shocked.
The last day, 11/03/2008, has no rallies in Pennsylvania or Virginia.
But they have rallies in Iowa, New Mexico and Nevada!!!
I thought New Mexico was long gone. I guess not. And it looks like they are fighting for Nevada. There are three rallies there, one by McCain and two by Sarah.

Scott said...

""""This is a time to PULL TOGETHER, people. QUIT putting McCain down, and stop planning to "fight" him on Wednesday! FOR SHAME!""""


yeah i agree.. i don't think it'll look too good if we start giving him a hard time the day after the election.. lets give him time to see what he's going to do. He's going to need support.. he'll get plenty of opposition from the other side.

Nicky said...

Sorry Adams nobody seems to commemorate with you on the lose of your laptop. I just hope the "Obamatopias" and the MSM jackass who obviously stole your laptop come up with a future slander on you. Whatever information you've got there, no matter how in the future the MSM will try to twist it against you, just be sure we got your back.

I can only just keep praying that USA remains on Gods side -So it has to be MCCain/Palin

Scott said...

""""Yes, Momprayn, I heard that----but I checked Drudge just now and there's not a syllable about the INSPIRING Zogby poll results you reference. What gives?----besides the fact that Drudge is ALSO in the tank for Obama and has at least FOUR Obama stories placed at the top of his website!
I'm getting really tired of the MSM and its BI-AS!""""



the 3 day average is about the same but in friday's polling McCain outpolled obama 48-47%
so if the polling stays the same he'll be a point ahead by monday.

azaeroprof said...

This sure has been a fun ride! Adam, thanks so much! Since I discovered your blog back in January, this has been the most enjoyable political ride since 1980. And all you regulars: techno, mountain mama, momprayin, jill, scott, knowitall, and others, thanks so much for keeping all of us uplifted.

If Zogby is signalling the trend that I've felt all along in my gut would happen the last weekend, we may be in for a fun Tuesday. Maybe we can all meet in DC in January to watch Sarah get sworn in as the first woman veep!

Keep workin' and prayin'! I just found out yesterday that McCain's final rally will be in downtown Prescott, AZ, only about a mile from my home! We're so excited, and everyone I know is planning to be there. FYI, he'll be speaking from the same courthouse steps that Barry Goldwater announced his candidacy in 1964. Should be a magical evening and prelude to an even more magical evening on Tuesday!

McCain/Palin '08!
Go, Sarah, go!

Scott said...

i swear "when" McCain wins i hope someone does roll tape on MSNBC on election night.. it'll be good watching for at least 6 months or more. I may actually watch keith olbermann for that purpose alone..

Tbone said...

It would be awesome to watch Olberman and all of MSNBC if McCain/Sarah do win on Tuesday. Because as we know his boy Obama can do no wrong.

Scott said...

knowing how God works (in the slightest) you can really see His hand in this...


Obama Campaign Worker Message

After a long and careful consideration of all the implications and possible consequences of my actions today, I have decided to go through with this in the hope that our country can indeed be guided into the right direction. First, a little personal background… I am a female grad student in my 20’s, and a registered Democrat. During the primaries, I was a campaign worker for the Clinton candidacy. I believed in her and still do, staying all the way to the bitter end. And believe me, it was bitter. The snippets you’ve heard from various media outlets only grazed the surface. There was no love between the Clinton and Obama campaigns, and these feelings extended all the way to the top. Hillary was no dope though, and knew that any endorsement of Obama must appear to be a full-fledged one. She did this out of political survival. As a part of his overall effort to extend an olive branch to the Clinton camp and her supporters, Obama took on a few Hillary staff members into his campaign. I was one such worker. Though I was still bitterly loyal to Hillary, I still held out hope that he would choose her as VP. In fact, there was a consensus among us transplants that in the end, he HAD to choose her. It was the only logical choice. I also was committed to the Democratic cause and without much of a second thought, transferred my allegiance to Senator Obama.

I’m going to let you in on a few secrets here, and this is not because I enjoy the gossip or the attention directed my way. I’m doing this because I doubt much of you know the true weaknesses of Obama. Another reason for my doing this is that I am lost faith in this campaign, and feel that this choice has been forced on many people in this country. Put simply, you are being manipulated. That was and is our job – to manipulate you (the electorate) and the media (we already had them months ago). Our goal is to create chaos with the other side, not hope. I’ve come to the realization (as the campaign already has) that if this comes to the issues, Barack Obama doesn’t have a chance. His only chance is to foster disorganization, chaos, despair, and a sense of inevitability among the Republicans. It has worked up until now. Joe the Plumber has put the focus on the issues again, and this scares us more than anything. Being in a position to know these things, I will rate what the Obama campaign already knows are their weak links from the most important on down.


1 – Hillary voters. Internal polling suggests that at best, we are taking 70-75% of these voters. Other estimates are as low as 60% in some areas – particularly Ohio and western PA. My biggest problem with this campaign’s strategy was the decision NOT to offer Hillary the VP slot. She was ready and able to take this on, and would have campaigned enthusiastically for it. This selection would have also brought virtually all of her supporters into the fold, and the Obama campaign knew it. Though I have no way of knowing this for certain, and I do admit that I am relying on internal gossip, Senator Obama actually went against the advice of his top advisors. They wanted him to choose her, but the only significant opposition to this within the campaign came from Barack and Michelle Obama. In short, he let personal feelings take precedence over what was the most logical thing to do. Biden, by the way, has been a disaster inside the campaign. Everyone cringes whenever he gives an interview, and he creates so many headaches as the campaign has to stay on their toes in order to disseminate information and spin whatever it was he was trying to say.

2 – Sarah Palin. Don’t believe what the media is telling you about how horrible a choice she was. Again, our internal polling suggest that though she has had a minimal impact on pulling disaffected Hillary Democrats to McCain, she has done wonders in mobilizing the base for McCain. Another thing – we were completely taken by surprise with her pick. In my capacity in the research department, I looked into the backgrounds of Leiberman, Romney, Pawlenty and Ridge, and prepared briefs. I don’t mind bragging that we had pretty good stuff on all of them. With Leiberman, the plan was to paint him as an erratic old-timer who didn’t have a clue as to what he was doing (pretty much a clone of McCain). In Romney, we had him pegged as an evil capitalist who cut jobs. Pawlenty was going to get the “Quayle treatment”, or more precisely: a pretty face, with no valid experience. Tom Ridge was going to be used to provide a direct link from McCain to Bush. As you can see, we were quite enamored of all of them. Then the unexpected happened – Sarah Palin. We had no clue as to how to handle her, and bungled it from the start. Though through our misinformation networks, we have successfully taken some of the shine off. But let there be no doubt. She remains a major obstacle. She has singlehanded solidified “soft” Republican support, mobilized the McCain ground game, and has even had some appeal to independents and Hillary voters. This is what our internal polling confirms.

3 – Obama’s radical connections. Standards operating procedure has been to cry “racism” whenever one of these has been brought up. We even have a detailed strategy ready to go should McCain ever bring Rev. Wright up. Though by themselves they are of minimal worth, taken together, Rev. Wright, Bill Ayers, Father Pfelger, and now, Rashid Khalili, are exactly what the campaign does not need. The more focus on them, the more this election becomes a referendum on Obama. The campaign strategy from the very beginning was to make this election a referendum on Bush. Strategists have been banging their head on how successfully McCain has distanced himself from Bush. This has worked, and right now the tide is in his favor. People are taking a new look at Barack Obama, and our experience when this happens tells us this is not good news at all. When they take a look at him, one or more of these names are bound to be brought up. McCain has wisely not harped on this in recent weeks and let voters decide for themselves. This was a trap we set for him, and he never fully took the bait. Senator Obama openly dared him to bring up Ayers. This was not due to machismo on the part of Obama, but actually due to campaign strategy. Though McCain’s reference to Ayers fell flat in the last debate, people in the Obama campaign were actually disappointed that he didn’t follow through on it more and getting into it. Our focus groups found this out: When McCain brings these connections up, voters are turned off to him. They’d rather take this into consideration themselves, and when this happens, our numbers begin to tank.

4 – The Bradley Effect. Don’t believe these polls for a second. I just went over our numbers and found that we have next to no chance in the following states: Missouri, Indiana, North Carolina, Florida, New Hampshire and Nevada. Ohio leans heavily to McCain, but is too close to call it for him. Virginia, Pennsylvania, Colorado, New Mexico and Iowa are the true “toss up states”. The only two of these the campaign feels “confident” in are Iowa and New Mexico. The reason for such polling discrepancy is the Bradley Effect, and this is a subject of much discussion in the campaign. In general, we tend to take a -10 point percentage in allowing for this, and are not comfortable until the polls give us a spread well over this mark. This is why we are still campaigning in Virginia and Pennsylvania! This is why Ohio is such a desperate hope for us! What truly bothers this campaign is the fact that some pollsters get up to an 80% “refuse to respond” result. You can’t possibly include these into the polls. The truth is, people are afraid to let people know who they are voting for. The vast majority of these respondents are McCain supporters. Obama is the “hip” choice, and we all know it.

As part of my research duties, I scour right wing blogs and websites to get somewhat of a “feel” as to what is being talked about on the other side. Much of it is nonsense, but there are some exceptions which give the campaign jitters. A spirited campaign has been made to infiltrate many pro-Hillary sites and discredit them. A more disorganized, but genuine effort has also been made to sow doubts among the unapologetically right wing sites such as redstate.com. Don’t you guys get it? This has been the Obama campaign’s sole strategy from the very beginning! The only way he wins is over a dispirited, disorganized, and demobilized opposition. This is how it has been for all of his campaigns. What surprises me is that everyone has fallen for it. You may point to the polls as proof of the inevitability of all of this. If so, you have fallen for the oldest trick in the book. How did we skew these polls, you might ask? It all starts with the media “buzz” which has been generated over the campaign. Many stories are generated on the powerful Obama ground game, and how many new voters were registered. None of this happens by coincidence. It is all part of the poll-skewing process. This makes pollsters change their mixes to reflect these new voters and tilt the mix more towards Democratic voters. What is not mentioned or reported on is not the “under-reported cell phone users or young voters” we hear so much about. What is underreported is you.

changed my somewhat positive opinion of this campaign during the unfair and sexist campaign against Sarah Palin. I will never agree with her on the issues and will probably never vote for her, but I am embarrassed of what has happened. I can’t ignore our own hand in all of this. What I do know is that I will not be voting for Obama this time around. Treat that as you will.


http://www.redstate.com/diaries/anon...-know-in-this/
http://www.redstate.com/diaries/anon...-know-in-this/

Mountain Mama said...

Please pray for the candidates and this election:

-That the candidates can stay healthy under the incredible stress of the final few days of this campaign.

-That their voices will hold up.

-That they can find enough rest between rallies to keep healthy.

-That they won't contract colds or flu from the thousands of possibly-germy hands they're shaking at the rallies.

-That Americans will play CLOSE ATTENTION to the REAL character and legislative/CEO history of each candidate.

-That all assassination or terrorist plots will be discovered and thwarted BEFORE they can be fulfilled.

-That the inevitably-involved Outsiders will INFORM upon the Insiders who are plotting assassination or terrorism----and in time to stop the attacks.

-That every computer and ballot situation will work correctly when people use them to vote.

-That the members of the Electoral College----for whom our votes are technically cast----will NOT go rogue, but instead will vote for candidates they have already declared allegiance to support.

-That the minds and spirits of the children and grandchildren of the candidates will be enriched, not wounded by this campaign.

-That Americans will truly try to support the new President and VP.

-That Sarah Palin will continue to gain support from Americans.

-That people who have followed this blogsite will contribute generously to help Adam purchase another laptop computer.

Dean said...

Well the Zogby poll of McCain leading 48-47 is at the top of the Drugereport.

They also have the AP story about Obama's aunt. It says she is living in the US illegally. What is more amazing is how she lives in the Boston slum. Also, his brother living in the hut over in Kenya.

There is no way Obama is going to be compassionate toward the American people. I believe Obama to be a cold and calculating individual. It is all about the power and his agendas.

Scott said...

Vote! don't listen to the media

i thought this part from hillibuz was funny


It’s so funny, but when you work on these campaigns every day and give up all of your free time and all other activities for this, you just know when the media’s lying and reading from an Axelrod script. The coerographed calls for Hillary Clinton to drop out of the race before New Hampshire, before Super Tuesday, before Ohio and Texas, before Pennsylvania, before West Virgina, before Kentucky, before Indiana, and before South Dakota were completely ridiculous to us — and yet, Eeyores always listened, and lost enthusiasm and drive because ‘the TV said Hillary needs to just quit”. We know this kept some Eeyores from going out to vote, because they thought, “Why bother? The TV told me she’s gonna lose!”. Well, the TV lies. And the toaster says you’re fat. Unfortunately, the toaster’s telling the truth. The microwave tells you to set fires - and that just means you’re nuts, because why would it do that?

The ONLY way McCain loses this race is if the media, operating as a full-fledged wing of the Obama campaign, breeds enough Eeyores amongst you to keep enough people home for Obama to squeak out wins. Hillary Clinton should have won Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Indiana, by larger margins that she did. Ohio should have been a 13-point win, Pennsylvania should have been a 12-point win, and Indiana should have been a 9-point win. Eeyores staying home, saying, “Oh bother, TV say me stay home, me sad, need dydee changed!” is what cost Hillary those extra points.

Don’t be Eeyores on Tuesday! Get those Eeyore butts off your couches, away from toxic TV, and GO VOTE. Get everyone you know to vote — tell them if they don’t, then Obama will turn America socialist, and we’re going to start with their house and bank account when we begin redistributing wealth. That should motivate them.

momprayn said...

Scott - thanks so much for that post from the Obama person. That's probably the one Rush was referring to that I asked about. Confirms a lot of what we had already figured out here.....I figured one of you would come up with it. Also that 80% refusing to respond to pollsters that I previously mentioned. So much we don't know about.

You know my reaction about how you can see God's hand in all this!!! Yes, maybe WE didn't know everything underhanded going on but God did. Their motto is always "the end justifies the means" bigtime! Really confirms our thoughts about Joe the Plumber also being a "biggie" from God to help us. And, as I've said before, think of all the myriads of things/circumstances/timing, etc. that had to happen for Sarah to even be selected and then all these others like Joe appearing like he did, when he did. We may question, being humans, the timing of all these but believe me, God's time is always the perfect time. He is always in control of everything that goes on --- when/if something is revealed, etc., etc., etc. It's mindboggling. We must continue trusting Him for all things and not go by what it "looks like" to us. I'm sure God is telling us, as we say, "it ain't over until it's over"!!!! Keep hanging in there with much humble fervent prayer & thanksgiving!

knowitall said...

Mountain Mama,
Thanks for reminding all of us to make a donation to Adam.
I decided to double what I sent on his birthday. I hope his fund to replace his computer grows quickly.

Can we make a donation to add spell checker to the comment box, too?

##################
I want to reprint something Jill posted last evening. Please don't miss it:

"McMentum
You won't want to miss this. It isn't just about the Zogby Poll. This is an audio download. It will be worth your time. Once you are on the site,scroll down a bit and click on The Real Polls. Then listen.

http://davidjeffers.thevanguard.org/500/mcmentum/

######
That's from Jill. Good job!!!

wiglaf said...

Iowa is still in play!

The One was in Des Moines on Friday and Sarah Barracuda will be there on Monday:

http://www.iowapolitics.com/index.iml?Article=140419

The top 3 stories on iowapolitics.com yesterday were:

1. Obama in Des Moines Fri.
2. Palin in Dubuque Mon.
3. Latest poll has Obama up 15 in Iowa

Ummm... which one of these 3 doesn't belong?

And Wisconsin is still being contested!

http://underheight.com/2008/11/01/wisconsin-is-still-being-contested/

PhaT aL said...

UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
Conservative::::: : Liberal
Repulsed by handout:::: Accepts handout
Works hard::::: Hardly working
Never accuses racism:::Always accuses racism
Works & never bitch:::::Bitch & never work
Cries for God::::::: God cries for
Teaches brother to fish::Takes brothers fish
Eagles:::::::: Lemmings
Competes to win:::::::Hates when you win
Baby's right to live:: Woman/man kill baby
AMERICA::::::::::: AMERIKA

knowitall said...

Sarah is doing SIX rallies on Tuesday!!!!!!
She has a lot to be proud of.
She has added a stop in Colorado. Again, that has to be good news.

I was thinking today that this fight is looking more and more like the old Rocky movie. The old fighter against the Flashy self promoter.

Mountain Mama said...

Perfect analogy, Knowitall! Can't wait to Jump with JOY like Rocky, too!

Mompayn: and do ya think it was suspicious timing that JUST NOW, Adam's computer was stolen? Why do I wonder if a liberal did so intentionally?

GREAT to hear from some old timers, as always (TrueRedHead, CarlosE, Phatal, etc.)----and terrific bunch of quotes and URL's, everyone! (My dinosaur of a computer can't play the David Jeffers audio, though! Rats!)

And WOW! Notice all the webposts that try to justify Obama's ignoring the poverty of his own aunt and brother! Yeah, B.O. really believes in sharing, all right: redistributing everyone ELSE'S wealth......

Mountain Mama said...

Here's some neat stuff; be SURE to watch the video of ZO! I'm sorry I never heard of him until today. He should tour with McCain-Palin, like Joe and Tito, for SURE!

(Link the first URL together to see ZO. He's fantastic!)

http://hotair.com/archives/2008/10/23/
video-zo-on-health-care-energy
-taxes-pretty-much-everything/

*'Twas the night before elections*
*And all through the town*
*Tempers were flaring*
*Emotions up and down!*
**
*I, in my bathrobe*
*With a cat in my lap*
*Had cut off the TV*
*Tired of political crap.
**
*When all of a sudden*
*There arose such a noise*
*I peered out my window*
*Saw Obama and his boys*
**
*They'd come for my wallet*
*They wanted my pay*
*To give to the others*
*Who had not worked a day!*
**
*He snatched up my money*
*And quick as a wink*
*Jumped back on his bandwagon*
*He'd caused quite a stink*
**
*He rallied his henchmen*
*Who were pulling his cart*
*I knew they were planning*
*To tear my country apart!*
**
*' On Fannie, on Freddie, *
*On Biden and Ayers!*
*On Acorn, On Pelosi'*
*He screamed at the pairs!*
**
*They took off for his cause*
*And as he flew out of sight*
*I heard him laugh at the nation*
*Who wouldn't stand up and fight!*
**
*So I leave you to think*
*On this one final note-*
*IF YOU DONT WANT SOCIALISM*
*GET OUT AND VOTE!!!!*

Scott said...

"""They also have the AP story about Obama's aunt. It says she is living in the US illegally. What is more amazing is how she lives in the Boston slum. Also, his brother living in the hut over in Kenya.""""


not to mention she somehow found a way to donate $250 to his campaign...
which on the legal standpoint is a violation of federal campaign rules..
but more obvious is, how did a homeless person donate $250?

techno said...

Gallup traditional is now showing McCain behind Obama by 10 points; according to Gallup, McCain has lost 8 points in the last 4 polling days. On Tuesday he was down only by 2 points. This makes no sense when Zogby yesterday said based on yesterday's polling he found it was 48-47 McCain and the IBD/TIPP poll found McCain lost only .1 yesterday.Gallup is the new Zogby. These wild swings are pure fantasy and cannot be believed. Battleground polls of toss-up states show Obama 47 McCain 46; in addition Rasmussen, the most consistent pollster shows McCain flcutating between 3-5 points all week. Gallup is trying to suppress the Republican vote. Unfortunately for them it won't work. Palin power is too strong.

Scott said...

""""momprayn=
Scott - thanks so much for that post from the Obama person. That's probably the one Rush was referring to that I asked about.""""


that's actually the second one i've seen like that.. here's the first one posted that may have gone unnoticed in the previous topic
confession of an obama blogger

i don't think we have anything to worry about.. God won't bless so much corruption and deceit.

Scott said...

"""(My dinosaur of a computer can't play the David Jeffers audio, though! Rats!)"""


it won't open at all? i know i had to give it quite a bit of time to load the content so maybe just let it sit there for a few minutes and see what happens?

he was basically saying how internal polling has McCain way up in supposed blue states because obama assumed he'd win them and didn't defend them.. like NJ, Mich, and unbelievably McCain is only down a couple in CALIFORNIA. I'd be willing to give up a red state or 2 or 3 just to have california.. just to see the reaction of hollywood knowing their votes were in vain!

knowitall said...

Techno et al,

the fine print on the Gallop poll was amazing.
They said that they are projecting about a 5% higher voting turn-out this year.
Because of that extra 5%, they added a few percent to Obama's lead. It was a mathmatic increase to the lead.

Sure, I trust them.

techno said...

10 words and phrases that I wish I didn't have to use to describe Obama or his attitudes: 1)cutthroat 2) 'the big lie' 3)disinformation 4)propaganda 5)intimidation 6)thug 7)misogynist 8)voter fraud 9)socialism 10)teflon

techno said...

Ten statements during the campaign which are hard or impossilbe to prove or refute: 1)Sarah Palin is a 'drag on the ticket' 2) John McCain has run a lousy campaign 3)Sarah Palin is dumb 4)the McCain top advisors (unnamed sources) are out to sabotage Sarah Palin 4)Sarah Palin is not attracting independents to the McCain campaign 5)Sarah Palin has gone 'rogue' or diva' 6)Mitt Romney would have been a better choice 7)the MSM are either clueless or conveniently ignore the fact that McCain has momentum; I choose the latter 8)white people will vote for Obama from a sense of 'white guilt' 9)negative campaigning does or does not work; 10)Sarah is not ready to be VP

Scott said...

McCain has an appearance on Saturday Night Live tonight

PALINATOR!!!! said...

An email I received from Rick Davis, John McCain Campaign Manager, though most of you have surely seen it, I thought I would support his request to circulate it:
The State of the Campaign

If your television is tuned to cable news as frequently as ours are here at campaign headquarters, you have seen the pundits say John McCain and his campaign are done. And, if you've followed this race since the beginning, this is clearly a song you've heard before. I wanted to take some time today to give you some insight on the state of the race as we see it.

An AP poll released this morning revealed a very telling fact: ONE out of every SEVEN voters is undecided. That means, if 130 million voters turn out on Tuesday, 18.5 million of them have yet to make up their mind. With that many votes on the table and the tremendous movement we've seen in this race, I believe we are in a very competitive campaign.

Here's why:

All the major polls have shown a tightening in the race and a significant narrowing of the numbers. In John McCain's typical pattern, he is closing strong and surprising the pundits. We believe this race is winnable, and if the trajectory continues, we will surpass the 270 Electoral votes needed on Election Night.
National Polls: Major polls last week showed John McCain trailing by double-digit margins - but by the middle of this week, we were within the margin of error on four national tracking surveys. In fact, the Gallup national tracking survey showed the race in a virtual tie 2 days this week. 

State Polls: 

Iowa - Our numbers in Iowa have seen a tremendous surge in the past 10 days. We took Obama's lead from the double digits to a very close race. That is why you see Barack Obama visiting the state in the final days, trying to stem his losses. It is too little, too late. Like many other Midwestern states, Iowa is moving swiftly into McCain's column. 

The Southwest - It is no secret that Republican candidates in the Southwest have to focus on winning over enough Latino and Hispanic voters in Nevada, New Mexico and Colorado to carry them to victory. John McCain has overcome challenges Republicans face, and has made up tremendous ground in these states with these voters. For these voters, the choice has become clear, and you have seen a big change in the numbers. John McCain is now winning enough voters to perform within the margin of error - putting these states within reach. 

Colorado - Barack Obama tried to outspend our campaign in Colorado during the early weeks of October and finish off our candidate in Colorado. However, after our visit early this week, we saw a tremendous rebound in our poll position, and Colorado is back on the map. 

Ohio and Pennsylvania - Everyone knows that vote rich Ohio and Pennsylvania will be key battlegrounds for this election. Between the two: 41 electoral votes and no candidate has gotten to the White House without Ohio. Senator McCain and Governor Palin have been campaigning non-stop in these key battleground states and tonight Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger has pumped up our campaign at a rally in Columbus. Our position in these states is strong and undecided voters continue to have a very favorable impression of our candidate.
Obama campaign faces tremendous structural challenges in the final days of this campaign
Obama has a challenge hitting 50%: Barack Obama has not reached the 50% threshold in almost any the battleground state. He consistently is performing in the 45-48% range. When we look closely at the primary votes, we see a history of a candidate whose Election Day performance is often at or behind his final polling numbers. If this is true, our surge will leave Obama with even or under 50% of the vote on Election Day. 

Early Vote: The Obama campaign has promised that their early vote and absentee efforts will change the composition of the electorate. They have sold the press on a story that first time voters will turn out in droves this election cycle. Again, the facts undermine their argument. In our analysis of early voting and absentee votes to date: The composition of the electorate has not changed significantly and most folks who have voted early are high propensity voters who would have voted regardless of the high interest in this campaign. 

Expanding the Field: Obama is running out of states if you follow out a traditional model. Today, he expanded his buy into North Dakota, Georgia and Arizona in an attempt to widen the playing field and find his 270 Electoral Votes. This is a very tall order and trying to expand into new states in the final hours shows he doesn't have the votes to win.
The Final Barnstorm
On Monday, we will have a 14 state rally with our candidates crisscrossing the country trying to turn out our voters and sway the final undecided voters. Governor Palin will hit Ohio, Missouri, Iowa, Colorado, Nevada and Alaska in the final day of campaigning, while Senator McCain will travel from Tampa, Florida, to Virginia, then Pennsylvania, Indiana, New Mexico, Nevada and finish the night in Prescott, Arizona. The enthusiasm and excitement we generate on Monday will be the electricity that powers our "Get Out the Vote" efforts on Tuesday.
On the Ground
Our field organization has tremendous energy and is out-performing the Bush campaign at the same time in 2004. This week our field organization crossed a huge threshold and began reaching more than one million voters per day, and by week's end will have contacted more than 5 million voters. Our phone centers are full and our rate of voter contact is significantly out-pacing the Bush campaign in 2004. We have the resources to do the voter contact necessary to support the surge we are seeing in our polling with old fashioned grassroots outreach.
On the Airwaves
In the final days of the campaign, our television presence will be bigger and broader than the Obama campaign's presence. The full Republican effort - the RNC's Independent Expenditure and the McCain campaign will out-buy Barack Obama and the Democrats by just about 10 million dollars.
In short: the McCain campaign is surging in the final 72 hours. Our grassroots campaign is vibrant and communicating to voters in a very powerful way. Our television presence is strong. And, we have a secret ingredient - A candidate who will never quit and who will never stop fighting for you and for your families.

In these final hours, Senator McCain and Governor Palin are counting on you - they are counting on you to knock on doors, to make turnout calls, to contact your friends and neighbors. Get our voters to the polls and help John McCain fight for your and for our country. This is our last mission on behalf of John McCain and I have no doubt I can count on your effort and energy to carry us across the line to victory.

Mountain Mama said...

WOW! What encouraging posts, all y'all!

Dick Morris just ruined ALL the arguments poor li'l Alan Colmes brought up----and Morris emphasized that the Zogby poll is THE newest one, showing a seismic shift TOWARD McCain in MANY states! WOOEE!

Morris says that the Rev. Wright ad is what's helping most lately: GOOD! We need to SEE the crap that came out of Rev. Wright's brain and mouth (fine, he supported helpful social programs----but his THINKING is horribly skewed re. theology, politics, and economics!). This is the crap that Obama subjected his children to every week!----and he and Michelle chose to listen to and support said crap for over TWO DECADES!!!!!
GOOD JOB, McCain-Palin staff!!!!!

I'm getting lots of celebration treats ready for Election Night: popcorn, chocolate, and ICE CREAM! They'll keep us wide awake and SMILING!
;->
GO, McCain-Palin!!!!

Mountain Mama said...

P.S. Don't worry: I can not only pray while I'm munching snacks----I pray lately EVEN IN MY SLEEP! LORD, HELP AMERICA!

Scott said...

""""""""Morris says that the Rev. Wright ad is what's helping most lately: GOOD! We need to SEE the crap that came out of Rev. Wright's brain and mouth (fine, he supported helpful social programs----but his THINKING is horribly skewed re. theology, politics, and economics!).""""""""



i was kind of worried about them using that ad because of what was said in the obama camp worker's post.. one of their tactics was to try and bait McCain into bringing up the subject because their numbers did better when he did. They said when left alone the people looked into it themselves.. so i'm not sure what kind of effect the gop site blanketing it across the battleground states is going to have.. Morris seems to think it's a good idea.

momprayn said...

Mountain mama - Re Adam's computer, yes yet another sinister plot. But don't worry, God knows all!!! Also - yes, I took note also about the donation.....

Re that David Jeffers tape that people are having trouble hearing. Mine went off & on - no good, so I kept searching the comments, etc. & found it written so here is the jest of it: It's apparently from GOP internal polling & many doubt it (don't know for sure)

Obama took Blue states for granted at his peril. NJ - McCain leads 48-43 with 7% undecided; undecideds breaking 4:1 for McCain!!!
He is ahead in MI, 2 pts.
CA - behind only by 2 pts. with 9% undecided.
PA - Blowout for McCain 55-33 with 37% Dems voting McCain (PUMAS) & 14% undecided -Dems.

Main issue with voters: Obama cheating & trying to buy this election....ACORN stories sealed it. ACORN not mobilized in the blue states.

Hey - Ray are you out there? Weren't you from NJ??? I prayed for that state after I saw your blog!!
Pray that these are all right guys!!!! I have family in CA (voting McPalin) THAT would be highly miraculous!!!!!!!!!!!!


Obama took Blue states for granted

momprayn said...

Well, this is very "odd". After I posted my last one here, re the surprising poll info re CA (only 2 pts. behind) I went surfing on TV & just happened to see this: a special humongous Christian gathering for prayer/fasting for the state of CA in San Diego, called "The Call", Live. Went to their website & see that it is for only one day, TODAY. Coincidence? I don't think so..... Wanted to share what was said for their reason they're doing it since it has to do with what we have been saying here:

"The church is not at the mercy of political decrees of destruction. Jesus is the Lord of history! Though these decrees stand today, they will not stand forever. God is the One who reverses the edicts of man, using the church as an agent of righteous revolution to displace kings & overthrow their decrees through the weapons of fasting & prayer. Therefore, we are summoning believers from all across the state of CA & the nation to gather...when there is no remedy, when there is no natural hope, God still has a holy prescription!...Let the believers gather & cry out to God believing that CA could become a flash point of real CHANGE in America, not open the door to scocietal collapse. Let us return to the fasting praying womb in San Diego and seek the face of God!"
Amen!

momprayn said...

More interesting tidbits from "The Call". One minister saying that he has felt God saying this election will be determined by our prayers & fasting. Historical trivia about why we have elections on Tuesday - so that people could go to church on Sunday and hear what the pastor said about it & would give them time to fast and pray before!!!! Ha! Well....

Tbone said...

Here is the state of the race on November 2nd. The national polls have really tightened. When I look at state by state though I still think that McCain/sarah can still win. Democrats are always overpolled.Here is a state by state view.
Obama:Strong EV Count:227
McCain:Strong EV Count:132
Toss up leaning Obama: 4(New Hamphire
Toss up leaning McCain:28(Arizona,Georgia and Montana)
This would put it at
Obama 231
McCain 160
Here are the states that are within the margin of error within 3 pts.
Nevada 5EV
Colorado 9EV
New Mexico 5EV
Missouri 11EV
Indiana 11EV
Ohio 20EV
Pennsylvania 21EV
Virginia 13EV
North Carolina 15EV
Florida 27EV
So I think a total of 137 EV's are still up for grabs. So don't let the media and pollsters tell you the election is over there are still 7-10% undecideds to. I still think McCain/Sarah will pull off the upset on election day.
Here are some questions though.
1. Is Arizona really in play? I have seen 3 polls at McCain at +4 and at McCain +1. That is to close.
2. Is Missouri,Iowa,Colorado,Ohio and Pennsylvani trending McCain? I say yes
Lets get out and vote Sarah. They can still win. Lets Go Sarah Go.

Ray said...

I'm here. *Waves*

I think NJ is a real outside shot still, since it was was only one poll, even if it was internal. We get the Philly advertising here in the south (from both candidates), but I don't think we get McCain ads in the north. If McCain wants NJ, he needs Bergen County in the north. They are generally self-thinkers, so who knows if they even need the advertising. South NJ seems to be very pro-McCain (Mac needs big turnout here). I remember four years ago that everyone hated Bush here in the South. It was everywhere, yet he only lost the state by 7. McCain has a lot of yard signs to say the least. I think my town has Republican fever. Now, there is only noticable Obama support at colleges and universities and a few select towns. The community colleges are openly pro-Obama, but the universities have a higher percentage of open McCain supporters. The McCain supporters seem to be social science majors (history in particular). The northeast is a different story. Not many areas of the northeast outside of Bergen county would give McCain even a remote chance. The northwest is no different than a rural area in PA or OH. Again, a huge turnout is key. The remaining area is the area around Trenton. McCain won't get much there, either.

You would think with the Democrats in this state, that NJ might finally give the Republican party another try. Who knows.

My older brother in the Navy voted (he didn't say who but his abortion stance makes me think McCain). I don't know if it goes towards this state. I don't know how it works. My parents and little sister are voting McCain on election day. My younger brother didn't bother registering to vote. He can't stand politics. My oldest brother is Republican, so maybe I should call him up on the election.

My older brother and younger sister never voted before. He wasn't interested (like my younger one now), and my sister was too young before. I don't know if my oldest brother had, but I think he might have.

Lisa - Mother of Nine said...

Scott - I went ahead and posted the Obama worker's note on my blog, but the link at the bottom isn't correct. Do you have a correct one?

knowitall said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Scott said...

""""Scott - I went ahead and posted the Obama worker's note on my blog, but the link at the bottom isn't correct. Do you have a correct one?""""


it's on
http://www.lynettelong.com/

right now it's the second post down

Scott said...

just saw mccain on snl.. it wasn't anything special.. a couple people booed him when he was introduced on weekend update. Honestly he could have done without making an appearance there. Now i remember why i don't bother watching that show and haven't for a long time. Affleck did a good skit on Keith Olbermann though. Usually, at least to me, it seems like every movie ben affleck is in he plays the same character.. there's no range. But he went all out changing his accent and tone for this one. But man has snl gotten stupid.

Scott said...

*note to sarah*

when you're in a baseball town, don't mention how good it is to be in the state that is home to the winning team, unless that team is in the same town you're in!

Ray said...

I did. Mob connections are not surprising in this state.

I think McCain best use resources in PA, NH, NV, VA, and maybe even NM, CO, and IA. At this point, I think if he wins NJ, he won anyway. Same with MN, WI, and MI. Of course, I could be wrong.

Mac needs FL, NC, IN, OH, and MO. There are givens in these scenarios, and I believe he wins all five. These and more solid states give Mac 247.

If Mac takes PA (247+21= 268), then he needs to win one of these to win:

1) VA (13), CO (9), IA (7), NV (5), NM (5), or NH (4)

If McCain loses PA, but wins VA (247+13=260), here are the scenarios:

1a) CO (260+9= 269)+ (IA, NV, NM, or NH)
1b) CO+ ME-2 (outside shot)for 270
2) IA (260+7= 267)+ (NV, NM, or NH)
3) NM+ NV (260+10= 270)

If he loses PA and VA:

1) CO+ IA+ (247+16=263) 2 of 3 (NM, NV, and NH)
2) CO+ NM+ NV+ NH (247+23=270)

Conclusions:

PA is almost vital for Obama but not McCain.

NJ would likely be a cherry on top.

knowitall said...

this is nothing you don't know already but it's another article to add to you file on how great Sarah is. They are always better when they are written by the opposition:

http://www.lynettelong.com/my_

weblog/2008/10/sarah-palins-a.html

knowitall said...

a careful review of the U of Washington WA State polls for the last two weeks shows that M/P probably have no chance in this deep blue state.

The good news is that the polls closed by 9% in one week. This appears to be consistant with the information that we are receiving from around the country.

Brianus Berkleianus said...

Dear Friends of Sarah,

Thank you for all of the encouraging, informative posts in recent days!!! I am following Sarah's request, as posted by someone a couple of days ago, that we pray Psalm 27 for her (although it is Psalm 26 for me in the numbering of the Latin Vulgate, i.e., the Psalm Dominus illuminatio mea et salus mea, quem timebo-the Lord is my light and my salvation; whom shall I fear?) Anyway, we are all praying the same prayer for the same great cause: this is a true "ecumenical" effort here, in the best sense of the term!

Scott, I especially appreciated your post from the Hillary supporter who has been working for Obama. The "inside" information is quite revealing, and most disturbing.

I hope to be celebrating with you all on Tuesday: Vincat Sara nostra: Literally, "Let our Sarah conquer"; more smoothly in English, "Victory to our Sarah!!"

God bless you all!

techno said...

I have consistently harped on the idea that the election of Obama would be dangerous to America and the free world. Here are my 10 reasons: 1)Obama favoring the use of intimidation and suppression to stifle any opposition;the desire by Obama to eliminate any political opposition by use of the IRS, various branches of government and law enforcement and the reintroduction of the Fairness Doctrine to take right-wing radio off the air 2)the use of the MSM by Obama to smear opponents and dismiss any anti-Obama rhetoric or objection as ridiculous or with disdain; 3)the desire by Obama to alter or neutralize the Constitution and to form his own personal army so as to impose authoritarian rule and never relinquish power; the use of ACORN to ensure that Obama will always win an election 4)to undermine the traditions of America by embracing internationalism, multiculturalism, the radical education principles of Bill Ayres and declaring amnesty for millions of illegals 5)taxing the American people significantly so that the majority of Americans become reliant on government largesse and handouts rather than self-reliant so as to impose a Marxist, socialist state on the American people; 6)will sanction unlimited abortion, infanticide and euthanasia; 7)will become friendly with anti-American leaders such as Chavez, Castro brothers, Gaddafi, Palestinian brotherhoood and thus legitimize their radical beliefs; 8)will not defend Israel if Iran attacks it with a nuclear weapon; 9)the employment of immense propaganda, racial division and demagoguery to stir up hatred among groups (divide and conquer strategy) 10)Obama's desire to undermine organized religion and make himself the Messiah. To many skeptics these ideas seem far-fetched. I am a student of history. In 1933 there were many German intellectuals and bourgeois who dismissed concerns that after Hitler was appointed Chancellor that he would implement the ideas as he set forth in Mein Kampf. After all he was a politician, not a barbarian. That drivel in MK was written to increase party membership and to placate his followers. Soon he'll realize that he can't do what he wants to do; he'll need to reach out for help and guidance. If he doesn't provide good government we'll replace him at the next election. He'll be constrained by other political parties, business, labor, the military, the intelligentsia and other vested interests. So how did that work out for Germany between 1933-1945? You say that it can't happen in the USA. As Sarah would say you betcha it can, if you allow Obama to become elected. Guess on Intrade who will be the first person(s) to sleep in the Lincoln bedroom under an Obama presidency: Bill Ayres and Bernadine Dohrn, Jeremiah Wright, or Rashid Khalidi. Unlike Nazi Germany Americans do have one chance to avert a disaster of monumental proportions. Pray God that the American people make the correct decision on November 4th.

Patriot1776 said...

national polls trending away from McCain/Palin....I am trying to remain positivee, but this is not looking good.

HOW could there be a polls with McCAin within 2 in CA??

UGH, I thought with that one day zogby we MAY have some real tighening...now, it appears to be going the other way.

I need my techno inside scoop to bolster me again.

I remain hopeful, but fearful of the result.

Scott said...

i thought zogby had Mccain 48 to 47 on friday? i don't get their graph
http://www.zogby.com/

i can't believe those numbers didn't change the 3 day average at all... and unless obama went back up to 50 and mccain back down to 43.....

momprayn said...

Well, since this is Sunday, think this topic will be praying for angelic intervention (if you haven't already). Yeah, I guess I talk about this kind of stuff even when it's not Sunday & maybe I should have "saved" that post on "The Call" until today? ha!!! (but I wanted to post it "as it was breaking")plus I guess it was "Sunday", according to the Jewish way (began at 6 pm I think). Anyway - I got this brilliant idea this morning. We're praying for God's intervention, yes - well, why not also specifically pray for His angels to come (& if it will cost us the election especially), to "get rid" of all fraudulent votes (plus that important Prop. 8 in CA where people are confused & have mistakenly voted the wrong way). Too way out? Well, I'm almost 100% sure Sarah believes in it - I am of the same "theology"/page as she is and so I pretty much know how she is thinking in regard to that. Anyway, it sure wouldn't hurt anything to ask....all He can say is "no". But I'm assured everything that can be done will be done if it is His will/decision for us to win. In fact, I guess already has, since He already knew the "end" before it began.....but He wants us to KEEP on "knocking" so let's keep keeping on!!!

TC Robinson said...

Guys, be resilient. Remember, John Kerry was leading by 6 points nationally in the final polls prior to election day, and he lost by 3.

Also, the weekends are historically bad polling days for Republicans, so don't be surprised to see the numbers go down or stay stagnant.

Ray said...

Most pollsters give a heavy Dem weight. Why? They expect a big tunrout. The big Dem turnout I expect is the PUMA turnout, and that doesn't help Obama one bit.

No matter where you live, you must vote. I don't care if it is Utah or Vermont. You must vote. No exceptions. No excuses. The popular vote does not determine the president (and there are good reasons for it) but it does determine overall popularity. The Obots must know just how popular McCain really is.

Mountain Mama said...

Read this SLO-OWLY:

THE - POLLS - ARE - FALLIBLE!

Duh! That's why they are all so different from each other!

REMEMBER:

- EVERY pollster has admitted that it is IMPOSSIBLE to predict how this election will go, because there are so many new voter registrations----and NO ONE knows if those people will actually turn up to vote OR if they are actual voters, or faked registrations.

- The PUMA's have vowed to LIE to the pollsters, to say they're voting for Obama when they're actually voting for McCain. How many other people have lied to them, too?

- Approx. 80% of people asked to take polls REFUSE to do so (did you know this?)----and in this election, most of those people (the various pollsters surmise) probably don't want to seem "racist" by admitting they are NOT voting Obama!

- This is still a Center-Right nation, so if we have a VERY huge voter turnout and people VOTE AS THEY BELIEVE (informed about the REAL Obama), then McCain-Palin WIN! And turn out is probably going to be 15-20% HIGHER THAN USUAL!

- The media is helping the Obama campaign TRY TO SUPPRESS voter turnout by making it appear that McCain-Palin are losing, when the opposite will be the case IF REPUBLICANS TURN OUT AND VOTE!

- McCain-Palin ARE NOT "making Obama risky:" the FACTS are that Obama IS risky----and the voters are learning this JUST IN TIME to vote accordingly: for McCain!

KEEP THE FAITH, people!

PRAY! God is in control, and our prayer is that God will help McCain-Palin WIN!

momprayn said...

Brianus - I was thinking of you yesterday. Good to get a post from you again......appreciate all your prayers.
Techno/Scott - yeah, I know. I agree Techno, scary, scary. I've been thinking how it'd be like having this country being ruled by the "mafia"/Chicago machine/politics. Because that's pretty much what got Obama here & he has succeeded in "hoodwinking" half the country & will continue to use. It's like he said himself to his advisors (according to Bill Clinton when the Bailout thing happened) - "tell me what you want me to do & I'll SELL it"! (paraphrased)
I wish McCain hadn't said you don't have to be "afraid" of him if he is elected. Wrong. Shouldn't have said that.
But oh well, it's already done.
Yes, if he is elected, it'll be "in spite of himself". But I do like the way he has been really pumped at the rallies with "let's fight" mantra. And Sarah is out there doing "her thing".

Amazing it could have come to this. Lawrence Eagleberger (fmr. Sec. of State) has really been out there saying some VERY common sense things such as you said techno, saying he is scared to death of him if he is elected.
Again, my take is that God has allowed this to "come to a head" in order to WAKE US UP people!!!!! It has been his MERCY that allowed it!!!! His "rebuke" is His mercy.

Which brings me to the people out there (lurkers, etc.)reading this blogsite who still are Obamaites. PLEASE try to be more open minded & see the TRUTH. You are being "bamboozled" to the hilt. Plenty of "proof" out there!!! Educate yourself on what Socialism really means & past history lessons re nations that have tried that & see what a DISASTER it was.
It all "sounds good on the surface" but does not work & it is not right to "mandate" people to GIVE of their income to others! Any giving shoud be VOLUNTARY.
I could go on and one, but I'll stop now.....and go PRAY some more.

Scott said...

unless what i said i was concerned about in yesterday's post.. about the obama worker who said they wanted mccain to bring up obama's ties because their numbers did better when he did.. they even tried to bait him during the debate. I hope the polls aren't reflecting the public's annoyance at that gop group flooding the battleground states with that wright video. But then again, like rush said, at this point forget the polls.. remember what that inside person said and how they will try to use that as one tactic to discourage the republican turnout.. looks like it has begun.

Mountain Mama said...

What are YOU doing on Tuesday?

Our family has already voted, so we four are going to help take people to the polls on Tuesday.

Please pray for the health of workers like us who will also work outdoors on Tuesday (here, it is likely to rain), holding signs, talking with the public, etc.

What are YOU doing on Tuesday to help turn out the Republican vote?

Dean said...

A former top deputy to Nation of Islam leader Louis Farrakhan tells Newsmax that Barack Obama’s ties to the black nationalist movement in Chicago run deep, and that for many years the two men have had “an open line between them” to discuss policy and strategy.

The above is a quote from Newsmax.com where you can see the full story.